Great comment - a view from the UK

reech

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from itweb:
http://www.itweb.co.za/sections/feedback/feedcopy.asp?CommentID=3973
Early expectations of 3G unfounded
BY CTO OF A UK MOBILE OPERATOR, CTO OF A UK MOBILE OPERATOR, A UK MOBILE OPERATOR
[9 Feb 2005 ] I am CTO of a telecoms company in the UK, a mobile operator, I have been working on our Broadband project for the last 2 years. Nothing wrong with the contents in your article but I do believe the early expectations of 3G and associated edge technologies (unless you are talking about Wimax) are unfounded. We have had 3G networks here in the UK for some time now and the services offering can hardly be described as Broadband. The actual performance does not equal that of our plain old Home ADSL package of 512/256kbps or cable DOCSIS cable modems as offered by Telewest and NTL in the UK. (I had an interesting discussion here in London with one of the MTN engineers who told me they had been looking closely at Wimax).



The uptake of 3G has been disappointing and if you look at the penetration into the Broadband market as advertised by OFCOM in the UK 3G has hardly made any impression at all. The uptake of fixed Broadband in the UK has spectacular with 100,000 new subscribers per week. This is due to the excellent quality of the service and the relatively low cost. Example: I have a 1152/320kbps package (50:1 contention) and I pay only £29.99pm. If one is earning pounds this is very cheap indeed.



There seems to be a great deal of hype in SA with mobile technology for some reason but that is not where the demand lies in Europe. Broadband sales in 2003 overtook the sale of Mobile phones for the first time and late last year revenues of Broadband in Europe overtook digital television for the first time.



I was in Johannesburg recently and one of my friends proudly showed me his Telkom ADSL. I have to say I don`t think it comes close to what we are used to. There seems to be a bottleneck on the International portion which defeats to whole object of Broadband. With de-regulation happening there, however slow, it is hoped that the regulators will wake up and allow ISPs to `self provide` as they say. This is the only way SA will get real Broadband as we know it. It is really awesome!
 
Show that to someone important who can solve all our problems - maby we should sponser a tacket for them to go to the UK to see what ADSL there is like
 
Thats a summary of what we have been saying on this forum for ages, just wish the powers that be would realise the same thing.
 
I believe the uptake of cell phone based data services (GPRS & 3G) will be much higher and faster than in the UK.

When cellphones just arrived, I remember a USA guest being outspoken when he was met at the JHB airport about the craziness of everybody he saw having a cellphone.

A week later he remarked that he understood why cellphones were taking off so fast... as there was no public telephone service.

The same with cellphone data services: No that the Vodacom rates are almost affordable, they offer an alternative of choice.

I doubt if I will soon need R600's worth of data per month, and until then I will most probably stick with my cellphone as GPRS modem for my laptop when I'm not at the office.

When the breakeven arrives, there will be newer and better technologies available.
 
Yeah, it is the price you pay when living in a 3rd world country - lack of commitment from the people who are have the powers to make a difference. Man, if I was the communications minister ..... *dreaming* Hey, maybe RPM should get a career in polities with the aim of getting the minister of comms job. hehehehe
 
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