The solar gods always speak about if. If this if that. How load shedding will become worse we have heard a million times. How big increases we going to get, too. All their calculations is based of if and projections, no real life.
Funny thing is, There is no, if my batteries pack up, if my inverter blows up, if my panels break. if we sit 60 days per year without sun.
What about the if you sell your house now and there is no load shedding and solar prices is half what you paid for it?
How is your ROI doing then? Nobody will pay more than 20% of the value of a solar system extra for a house when we in load shedding, never mind now.
i have had lithium battery backup since jan 2021
and still problem free , did a diy battery build
from what i can see i have lost about 4% of capacity
mostly due to cycling too deep initially with smaller bank and bad balancing so longevity wise still looking good
the increases has been big enough to already make a massive impact on roi
so even if we don't have a single increase from here on out after 5-6 years you would be enjoying x amount of electricity for free
even on rainy/cloudy days your panels will still produce some power
the other day i happened to check this on a rainy day got 10% of normal output (naturally you will have the odd day here and there that might be even lower
even with bad weather i still save electricity
started getting panels last year july
and have generated R14 000 of electriciy
so it is currently looking like i will make all the momey back in about 4.5 years
sure some stuff may pack up
the way i see it , if you have gotten all your money spent back it is like an item that somody gave you for free if it packs up you would say it cost mne nothing so nothing lost, some warrantees are longer than the roi window so really not a big deal
the same applies if you sell your house even if you get 20c on the rand if you made the money back it doesn't matter realy
the point for me was i already had the expense of getting battery/inverter to be able to work through shedding
now adding the panels is a seperate calculation for me, spendinmg the money on panels it would take 18mnths to make back the cash layout on panels alone
so if a panel breaks the same got it for free logic applies, the only difference now is after that 18mnths they are getting money back i had to waste to weather load shedding which is a bargain
hindsight is 20/20 if i could go back in time i would have borrowed to install panels on day one instead of waiting for cashflow to do it cash
the problem is lots of people have bad instalations, /stories that spread
i know i encountered a guy that had higher electricity bill after solar install vs before
his wife was so pisse dof he decided to gi solar
i sorted out his settings, and in the meantime he has upgraded his system