Intel-Analysis: Security Situation Round SA Elections

rvZA

rvZA

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ABSTRACT: Intel Analysis security situation round SA Elections – An intelligence analysis of the national security situation likely to pertain just prior to, and especially in the aftermath of the 2024 South African general elections, shows a high probability that unrest will occur. Without wishing to be alarmist and knowing that South Africans have been capable of achieving miracles (at least in the eyes of foreign observers – such as during the 1994 transition to a non-racial democracy), there remains a possibility that a new government will again be quickly established with no instability of note. However, this time round the probability that high levels of unrest will occur in at least some areas of the country, is assessed as significant. Things are, however, in a state of flux and it is not possible to specify here exactly where disturbances are likely to occur (except in general terms), what their severity will be in each locality, and how long such instability will persist. What cannot be ruled out, though, is that the levels and duration of such violence, as well as the footprint, may significantly exceed that witnessed in July 2021. (This assessment is based on open sources and analytical logic, not on hard tactical intelligence of a secret nature, so that greater specificity is not currently possible – however, for planning purposes it is essential to now already take cognisance of the perceived probability of violent unrest, if only on the basis of “better safe than sorry”; all will rejoice if this assessment proves wrong and everything in fact passes tranquilly).
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hahaha, if not already this place will be swarming with spooks from everywhere, so much incentive from the West to make sure any sort of 'comrade' party remains in power so they can keep sabotaging and humiliating BRICS.

Would not be surprised of sudden Russian or China security assistance to keep things civil, especially so should any "transitions" happen.

Hearing a lot of American accents out here in the sticks, it's funny.
 
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elf_lord_ZC5 said:
Fake news site?
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WHAT WE ARE: The NONGQAI media family (magazine, blog and YouTube channel) form a free online repository of memories, historical data and analysis relating to the history of South Africa’s Forces and the national security of Southern Africa, past and current. It covers from the very recent to the very ancient past of policing, military developments, intelligence and diplomacy in the region.
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They have been around since 1907, so I doubt it.
 
BlackStatic said:
hahaha, if not already this place will be swarming with spooks from everywhere, so much incentive from the West to make sure any sort of 'comrade' party remains in power so they can keep sabotaging and humiliating BRICS.

Would not be surprised of sudden Russian or China security assistance to keep things civil, especially so should any "transitions" happen.

Hearing a lot of American accents out here in the sticks, it's funny.
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Which part of the country?




Maybe just young wannabe rappers:)
 
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