LIST: ANC NEC announced

Obed Bapela ran a spaza shop out of the embassy in London
 
This ANC is so divided I'll be surprised if it gets anything done. Will be interesting to see how they fare in the next elections.

I don't think the NEC will recall Zuma. Doesn't sound like they would have enough support to do so. Plus, as per usual, even Ramaphosa's supporters are still ANC members and thus more worried about the party image than the country. More worried about saving their own skins.
 
This ANC is so divided I'll be surprised if it gets anything done. Will be interesting to see how they fare in the next elections.

I don't think the NEC will recall Zuma. Doesn't sound like they would have enough support to do so. Plus, as per usual, even Ramaphosa's supporters are still ANC members and thus more worried about the party image than the country. More worried about saving their own skins.

...to reclaim the stay at home vote of 2016 - Zuma will have to leave, ....ANC will take the Zim route of cleaning house, no real action on Zuma, till he is truly dead politically....but those around him, interesting months ahead.
 
This ANC is so divided I'll be surprised if it gets anything done. Will be interesting to see how they fare in the next elections.

I don't think the NEC will recall Zuma. Doesn't sound like they would have enough support to do so. Plus, as per usual, even Ramaphosa's supporters are still ANC members and thus more worried about the party image than the country. More worried about saving their own skins.

Not the NEC's issue.
When Cyril appoints a proper NDPP, Zuma will be prosecuted and at that point they HAVE to remove him.
 
I count 35 on the new NEC that were on the Ramaphosa faction list distributed on social media.
Add Tito Mboweni (not on list) and Zweli Mkhize to those who will likely be Ramaphosa alligned and you get to 37.

http://ewn.co.za/2017/12/19/lists-of-preferred-anc-nec-making-rounds-on-social-media

Aaron Motsoaledi
Angie Motshekga
Baleka Mbete
Barbrah Creecy
Bheki Cele
David Masondo
Derrick Hanekom
Dikeledi Magadzi
Dipuo Letsatsi-Duba
Enoch Godongwana
Gwen Ramokgopa
Jackson Mthembu
Joel Net****enzhe
Lindiwe Sisulu
Mathole Motshekga
Mduduzi Manana
Mondli Gungubele
Naledi Pandor
Nkenke Kekana
Nomaindia Mfeketho
Nosiviwe Mapisa-Nqakula
Pemmy Majodina
Pravin Gordhan
Rejoice Mabudavhasi
Ronald Lamola
Ruth Bhengu
Sbongile Bhesane
Senzo Mchunu
Susan Shabangu
Thabang Makwetla
Thandi Modise
Thoko Didiza
Violet Siwela
Zingiswa Losi
Zizi Kodwa
 
I count 35 on the new NEC that were on the Ramaphosa faction list distributed on social media.
Add Tito Mboweni (not on list) and Zweli Mkhize to those who will likely be Ramaphosa alligned and you get to 37.

http://ewn.co.za/2017/12/19/lists-of-preferred-anc-nec-making-rounds-on-social-media

Aaron Motsoaledi
Angie Motshekga
Baleka Mbete
Barbrah Creecy
Bheki Cele
David Masondo
Derrick Hanekom
Dikeledi Magadzi
Dipuo Letsatsi-Duba
Enoch Godongwana
Gwen Ramokgopa
Jackson Mthembu
Joel Net****enzhe
Lindiwe Sisulu
Mathole Motshekga
Mduduzi Manana
Mondli Gungubele
Naledi Pandor
Nkenke Kekana
Nomaindia Mfeketho
Nosiviwe Mapisa-Nqakula
Pemmy Majodina
Pravin Gordhan
Rejoice Mabudavhasi
Ronald Lamola
Ruth Bhengu
Sbongile Bhesane
Senzo Mchunu
Susan Shabangu
Thabang Makwetla
Thandi Modise
Thoko Didiza
Violet Siwela
Zingiswa Losi
Zizi Kodwa

You should have said that earlier, it would have saved me from googling them one by one!

I wasn’t far off though, 35 vs 37.
 
I count 35 on the new NEC that were on the Ramaphosa faction list distributed on social media.
Add Tito Mboweni (not on list) and Zweli Mkhize to those who will likely be Ramaphosa alligned and you get to 37.

http://ewn.co.za/2017/12/19/lists-of-preferred-anc-nec-making-rounds-on-social-media

Aaron Motsoaledi
Angie Motshekga
Baleka Mbete
Barbrah Creecy
Bheki Cele
David Masondo
Derrick Hanekom
Dikeledi Magadzi
Dipuo Letsatsi-Duba
Enoch Godongwana
Gwen Ramokgopa
Jackson Mthembu
Joel Net****enzhe
Lindiwe Sisulu
Mathole Motshekga
Mduduzi Manana
Mondli Gungubele
Naledi Pandor
Nkenke Kekana
Nomaindia Mfeketho
Nosiviwe Mapisa-Nqakula
Pemmy Majodina
Pravin Gordhan
Rejoice Mabudavhasi
Ronald Lamola
Ruth Bhengu
Sbongile Bhesane
Senzo Mchunu
Susan Shabangu
Thabang Makwetla
Thandi Modise
Thoko Didiza
Violet Siwela
Zingiswa Losi
Zizi Kodwa

Lindiwe Sisulu, Baleka Mbete, Zizi Kodwa and Mathole Motshekga cannot be trusted.
 
I'm at 35 not captured to 29 captured so far, it seems much more balanced than the previous NEC.


2. Lindiwe Zulu Not captured
16. Sdumo Dlamini Not captured
26. Sfiso Buthelezi Not captured
27. Mduduzi Manana Captured
40. Baleka Mbete Difficult to say
53. Nosiviwe Mapisa-Nqakula Captured
78. Sylvia Lucas Not captured

I don't agree with you on the status of those names - they one's you have as "not captured" were in the NDZ camp, and the one's you have as "captured" in the CR camp. Mbete has been in the CR camp at least since she allowed the secret ballot, and she openly endorded CR at the conference.
 
I don't agree with you on the status of those names - they one's you have as "not captured" were in the NDZ camp, and the one's you have as "captured" in the CR camp. Mbete has been in the CR camp at least since she allowed the secret ballot, and she openly endorded CR at the conference.

They’re not all 100% but from a quick google of each name + Zuma, you get a quick idea of how defensive of JZ they are/were.

Mbete I know but I wouldn’t trust her.

Buthelezi has been involved in the looting of Prasa and is definitely captured.

The past actions of the minister of defense make that I wouldn’t trust her one second either but maybe. I don’t think she would stand up against JZ though.

Dlamini has publicly called for JZ to step down. https://www.businesslive.co.za/bd/n...pture-protest-and-call-for-zuma-to-step-down/

Lindiwe Zulu you’re right.

Manana what makes you think he’s not captured? I’ve put him as captured for his moronic behavior and his closeness to the youth league.
 
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As the ANC just experienced an earthquake and allegiances are changing fast, I think we need to drop the captured, not captured label. For now what is important is whether NEC members are for or anti Zuma and even more importantly for or anti CR.

With Mabuza betraying the Zumas he has basically assumed leadership of the Zuma camp, it is now the Mabuza camp. A few will remain Zuma loyalists (especially the KZN crowd). The Mabuza camp is probably divided on Zuma, but it is in their leader’s interest to push him out.

There are 4 groups for now:

A few pro zumas (still in the old zuma camp)
Some pro zuma pro mabuza (mabuza camp)
Some anti zuma pro mabuza (mabuza camp)
And lots of pro CR anti zuma (CR camp)
 
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My response in red.

They’re not all 100% but from a quick google of each name + Zuma, you get a quick idea of how defensive of JZ they are/were.

Mbete I know but I wouldn’t trust her. - Won't defend Zuma for sure

Buthelezi has been involved in the looting of Prasa and is definitely captured. You had him as not captured

The past actions of the minister of defense make that I wouldn’t trust her one second either but maybe. I don’t think she would stand up against JZ though.married to Charles - it would be a very uncomfortable bedroom if she supports Zuma

Dlamini has publicly called for JZ to step down. https://www.businesslive.co.za/bd/n...pture-protest-and-call-for-zuma-to-step-down/only to save his job as Cosatu pres - he famously attended Zuma's birthday party

Lindiwe Zulu you’re right.

Manana what makes you think he’s not captured? I’ve put him as captured for his moronic behavior and his closeness to the youth league.I am unsure, but he was on the CR list, and at the time the press reported he argued for a Ramaphosa presidency before the bar fight
 
This is politics, if some of this erstwhile supporters can throw Zuma under the bus and be sure to dodge any blow-back, they'll do it. Of course, in theory Zuma still controls the trough and can give out places there for the next while, but the nuclear deal which most of his supporters were eyeing greedily is now at risk.
 
This is politics, if some of this erstwhile supporters can throw Zuma under the bus and be sure to dodge any blow-back, they'll do it. Of course, in theory Zuma still controls the trough and can give out places there for the next while, but the nuclear deal which most of his supporters were eyeing greedily is now at risk.

Honestly, I think the nuclear deal is off the table.

The timing makes it just impossible to do it before JZ's end of mandate, and the budget does not allow it either and will allow less and less for it.

I would rather watch very carefully the space and see where Russian companies get mines, rights, tenders and any other possible compensation for not getting the nuclear deal.
 
Updated list, we're at probably 41 non captured over 80.

1. Zweli Mkhize Not captured
2. Lindiwe Zulu Captured
3. Regina Makgaule
4. David Masondo Not captured
5. Malusi Gigaba Captured
6. Ronald Lamola Not captured
7. Violet Siwela Not captured
8. Zizi Kodwa Not captured
9. Nkosazana Dlamini-Zuma Captured
10. Obed Bapela
11. Tito Mboweni Not captured
12. Lindiwe Sisulu Not captured
13. Bheki Cele Not captured
14. Fikile Mbalula Captured
15. Thoko Didiza Not captured
16. Sdumo Dlamini Captured
17. Bathabile Dlamini Captured
18. Senzo Mchunu Not captured
19. Pravin Gordhan Not captured
20. Naledi Pandor Not captured
21. Ivan Botes
22. Zingiswa Losi Not captured
23. Jackson Mthembu Not captured
24. Phumulo Masualle
25. Pule Mabe Captured
26. Sfiso Buthelezi Captured
27. Mduduzi Manana Not captured
28. Aaron Motsoaledi Not captured
29. Thandi Modise Not captured
30. Edna Molewa Captured
31. Collen Maine Captured
32. Nathi Mthethwa Captured
33. Tima Joemat Pieterson Captured
34. Nkenke Kekana Not captured
35. Maite Nkoana-Mashabane Captured
36. Angie Motshekga Not captured
37. Bongani Bongo Captured
38. Enoch Godongwana Not captured
39. Nomvula Mokonyane Captured
40. Baleka Mbete Not captured
41. Derrick Hanekom Not captured
42. Mondli Gungubele Not captured
43. Jeff Radebe Not captured
44. David Mahlobo Captured
45. Ruth Bhengu Not captured
46. Msebenzi Zwane Captured
47. Pinky Kekana
48. Nocawe Mafu Captured
49. Joe Maswanganyi Captured
50. Tony Yengeni Captured
51. Joel Net****enzhe Not captured
52. Dakota Lekgoete Captured
53. Nosiviwe Mapisa-Nqakula Not captured
54. Noxolo Kiviet Not captured
55. Ngoako Ramathlodi Not captured
56. Mathole Motshekga Not captured
57. Sbongile Bhesane Not captured
58. Thandi Mahambehlala Probably captured
59. Susan Shabangu Not captured
60. Pinky Moloi
61. Beauty Dluelane
62. Pamela Tshwete Captured
63. Toko Xasa
64. Dipuo Letsatsi-Duba Not captured
65. Dikeledi Magadzi Not captured
66. Thabang Makwetla Not captured
67. Siyabonga Cwele Captured
68. Barbrah Creecy Not captured
69. Mildred Oliphant
70. Khensani Khubayi Captured
71. Nomaindia Mfeketho Not captured
72. Hlengiwe Mkhize Captured
73. Pemmy Majodina Not captured
74. Faith Mothambi Captured
75. Rejoice Mabudavhasi Not captured
76. Cindy Tshikunga
77. Gwen Ramokgopa Not captured
78. Sylvia Lucas Not captured
79. Pammy Majodina
80. Candith Mashego
 
Mme Winnie - Poor health
Mandla - Not the brightest of political sparks

She was well enough to attend the gathering yet we haven't seen her in parliament for years. If she's sick then resign as a member of parliament.

Faith Muthambi and Tima Joemat Pieterson collectively have the brain cells of a pebble so intellect is hardly a requirement.
 
Updated list, we're at probably 41 non captured over 80.

I assume "Captured = Zuma faction"? Because the likes of Yengeni are overtly captured, they have nothing to offer. And I'm sure Yengeni will support whomever greases him palms. He can't serve in cabinet due to his criminal conviction, so he lives off patronage and Zuma's is about to run dry. I see him gravitating toward wherever he'll get fed. He's not alone like that. I think it'll be DD vs CR going forward in this NEC. Appointment of a too independent NDPA will threaten the likes of DD in addition to all the Gupta captured.
 
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