Need mathamatical help please...

GhostSixFour said:
Twatwaffle.

2001 6394000
2002 6821073
2003 7276672
2004 7762701
2005 8281193
2006 8834317
2007 9424386
2008 10053867
2009 10725393
2010 11441772
2011 12206000
2012 13021273
2013 13891000
2014 14818819
2015 15808609
Click to expand...

Testing...

If this is actually the true values, then you have just earned yourself 1% from the option pool, of something that can potentially be worth billions.
 
GhostSixFour said:
Is there a reason you're presuming linear growth between 2001 and 2011? What factors are leading you to conclude that there is still enough market left to grow at the same sustained rate looking forward?
Click to expand...

Random Hero said:
Testing...

If this is actually the true values, then you have just earned yourself 1% from the option pool, of something that can potentially be worth billions.
Click to expand...

See my question before you test it.
 
GhostSixFour said:
Is there a reason you're presuming linear growth between 2001 and 2011? What factors are leading you to conclude that there is still enough market left to grow at the same sustained rate looking forward?
Click to expand...

Because that segment has shown growth over the years since 2011 and has still grown steadily. the Data just does not exist, but it is safe to amuse the growth is linear. there is no volatility.
 
The Test did not pan...

I used 6.26% from the 6394000 and as of 2002 I got 6 794 264...
 
Random Hero said:
The Test did not pan...

I used 6.26% from the 6394000 and as of 2002 I got 6 794 264...
Click to expand...

Do you have the data for 2002, that you are testing against? Cause from 6394000 to 6794264 is a 5.89% growth, but following that with a linear scale won't give you 12206000 in 2011.
 
Lets take it from here... Because this is wasing too much time.. how do I do it through excel. ignore the other two columns.

Untitled.jpg
 
I really am very bad with maths :(

As population growth is exponential I'd assume it works kind of like compound interest?

So if you had R6300 in the bank (Or invested rather) and in 10 years it grew to R12200 with compound interest what would the average growth have been?

Playing with values on excel I found the interest would be 6.8321%.

The formula is apparently this: A = P (1 + r/n) ^ nt:
http://www.thecalculatorsite.com/articles/finance/compound-interest-formula.php
The exception being we already know A and need to find r. I can't remember how to do all of that anymore. Would take me hours to decipher and relearn this crap.

Have fun. I'm probably completely wrong though :)
 
Last edited:
P924 said:
I think it is best if you step away from the numbers....
Click to expand...

Sourcing these forcast from the interwebs is risky, but I do not have time to mess around. and My excel is weak. so Ca I trust the numbres givn?
 
Random Hero said:
Because that segment has shown growth over the years since 2011 and has still grown steadily. the Data just does not exist, but it is safe to amuse the growth is linear. there is no volatility.
Click to expand...

You say it's grown but that there is no data so how do you know that it's grown? You really don't have a clue do you?
 
Colin62 said:
You say it's grown but that there is no data so how do you know that it's grown? You really don't have a clue do you?
Click to expand...

Trend predictions... fact is it would be more then a linear view by now. but this is the safest rout and would still give me a conservative view of the market would realistically be more... So I have a clue
 
Figured it out...

If my ambitions are realised in a couple of years, P924 and GhostSixFour will share 1%...
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top
Sign up to the MyBroadband newsletter
X