poweralert....

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Right, so Medupi is outputting at 35% capacity 70% of the time. Got it.
Well maybe, cause a power station never runs at 100% anyway, at peak it will run a higher capacity, but at night or quieter periods it won't, the EAF just indicates that it's able to provide power for 70% of the time, which is within margins of a coal power station. Most coal stations over the course of the day would probably come in at 50%, also remember the EAF is over a period of time as well, so I mean technically if you have no issues for an entire day and report that EAF it's 100% :-P
 
Yeah, no dude. 70 to 80% is within the acceptable range. You won't get to 90%+
Yeah, if there was more supply and demand was easily met, that would be an acceptable range. Given the current levels of supply being unable to meet demand, it should be higher given it's a new station.

It's embarrassing that a new station can't ramp up when needed...
 
Well maybe, cause a power station never runs at 100% anyway, at peak it will run a higher capacity, but at night or quieter periods it won't, the EAF just indicates that it's able to provide power for 70% of the time, which is within margins of a coal power station. Most coal stations over the course of the day would probably come in at 50%, also remember the EAF is over a period of time as well, so I mean technically if you have no issues for an entire day and report that EAF it's 100% :p
Yes, this is all meaningless.

What we know: 20GW of coal is outputting now for about a week as we speak. We have 53.6GW (44 + 9.6) installed. So that is a 37% capacity factor with a 100% EAF for the week.

I would show you but since Andre left, these graphs have a 10% EAF.
1679919399730.png
1679919621331.png
 
Steenbras still fscked, but it looks like it may be the Eskom cable feeding the City's grid from the dam that is at fault rather than the hydro station itself.

Looks like Steenbras is working again, well kind of, because Cape Town now has this rather bizarre up and down load shedding schedule for the week:

27 March
Stage 2: 05:00 - 16:00
Stage 3: 16:00 - 18:00
Stage 1: 18:00 - 22:00
Stage 3: 22:00 - 05:00

28 March
Stage 1: 05:00 - 16:00
Stage 2: 16:00 - 18:00
Stage 0 (no load-shedding): 18:00 - 22:00
Stage 2: 22:00 - 05:00

29 March
Stage 1: 05:00 - 16:00
Stage 2: 16:00 - 18:00
Stage 0 (no load-shedding): 18:00 - 22:00
Stage 2: 22:00 - 05:00
 
Right, so Medupi is outputting at 35% capacity 70% of the time. Got it.
ottwxsx.jpg
 
I'm confused:

But nobody else is reporting that Eskom is doing stage 2 from 5pm (?) Tuesday morning. Should I take it, that they still doing stage 1 or not? Going up stage will make a difference to my morning.
 
Looks like stage 4 loading, coal down to 18GW from 20 and using OCGTs on a sunday after 5 days of using pumped storage hard:
View attachment 1499373
Depends what the update today shows, but yeah, stage 4 by this afternoon is my bet with those numbers if nothing improves
 
Paywalled article but using Google, it had this paragraph. Amazing what you can achieve when there are likely no embedded criminal mafias...

After 20 years, Eskom is exiting Uganda – after running two power stations at an average energy availability rate of almost 97%, compared to below 60% in South Africa. The utility expects to finally repatriate its earnings from that country, after not being able to do so for two decades.

 
Here's a non Paywalled one.
 
Here's a non Paywalled one.
Scary how the entire Uganda has 1400MW installed
 
Yeah hydropower plants EAF actually works differently to coal, cause it doesn't really have a controlled source of fuel, same as wind and solar, so their EAFs would be higher.
 
Here's a non Paywalled one.
Hydro power, no wonder the EAF is high. You have to be a terrorist to **** that up.
 
Shoo trying to explain to people that EAF has nothing to do with capacity
 
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