poweralert....

Status
Not open for further replies.
So LC stage 4 is between 6200-7100MW?
FuBGhGxWIAoGQfD
 
I'm starting to wonder if this isn't all just new smoke, there's lots of press articles unrealistically predicting increasingly ultimate gloom for winter. The latest suggests stage 11 lol !
Next the anc will tell us that they need to do the state of disaster thing again after all. Veeery cleva :popcorn:
 
Priapus said:
Okay if we are already hitting 33GW - then winter is going to be rough.

Also they can only do so much LC and then will have to go to stage 7 and higher.
Click to expand...
These numbers don't make sense, it's not even cold and the numbers are this high, I'm telling you this is load shift cause of the 4 hours, the higher the stages the more diminishing returns.
 
It is also worth remembering that Eskom will probably start to load curtail more to avoid having to declare higher stages as that is politically unpalatable.
 
So peak load was around 31GW last week. Really doubt it's gone up to 33GW in a week. Also it was bright and sunny in CT today and have not read about any storms in Gauteng or KZN today.
 
Lupus said:
These numbers don't make sense, it's not even cold and the numbers are this high, I'm telling you this is load shift cause of the 4 hours, the higher the stages the more diminishing returns.
Click to expand...
Yup agreed, noticed the shift a few months ago when summer load was hitting 30GW pretty often during stage 6
 
The_Right_Honourable_Brit said:
So peak load was around 31GW last week. Really doubt it's gone up to 33GW in a week. Also it was bright and sunny in CT today and have not read about any storms in Gauteng or KZN today.
Click to expand...

The season definitely changed up here on the highveld nighttime is definitely colder at the moment. I haven't got the heater out yet though but any cold front swinging by will kick us into winter.
 
B-1 said:
The season definitely changed up here on the highveld nighttime is definitely colder at the moment. I haven't got the heater out yet though but any cold front swinging by will kick us into winter.
Click to expand...

Yup definitely colder up here.

But agreed with @Lupus - it’s stage 5/6 causing this as those 4hr slots are brutal. Geysers go cold and batteries go flat. So lots of recharging.

A neighbor started charging his batteries at 2kWh as soon as power came back. Many more like him doing that and I will be too if it gets worse - currently don’t need to charge from grid. But will soon I think.
 
Last edited:
Priapus said:
Yup definitely colder up here.

But agreed with @Lupus - it’s stage 5/6 causing this as those 4hr slots are brutal. Geysers go coke and batteries go flat. So lots of recharging.

A neighbor started charging his batteries at 2kWh as soon as power came back. Many more like him doing that and I will be too if it gets worse - currently don’t need to charge from grid. But will soon I think.
Click to expand...
Yup can see it in the numbers, when it's higher stages, the demand goes up
 
Can't see how basic recharging, even by thousands of people is causing the higher demand to a large enough degree, and the cooler weather is hardly that most nights - I'm sitting here now in Jo'burg without a shirt on, certainly no heaters in use yet.

Figures are fiddled with, that's a certainty to some of us. anc at the helm. Just a question of why.
 
Brian_G said:
Can't see how basic recharging, even by thousands of people is causing the higher demand to a large enough degree, and the cooler weather is hardly that most nights - I'm sitting here now in Jo'burg without a shirt on, certainly no heaters in use yet.

Figures are fiddled with, that's a certainty to some of us. anc at the helm. Just a question of why.
Click to expand...
Not only charging, cooking and things like geysers and fridges starting up and running harder. People are shifting their loads to when it's available, so if the people who normally cook at 8 now have to cook at 7, or the people who normally cook at 6 now also need to cook at 7 and so on.
Can easily be seen in the demand over time, during lower stages the demand is lower, even at stage 4 you can see demand being a little higher then it should be.
 
Lupus said:
Not only charging, cooking and things like geysers and fridges starting up and running harder. People are shifting their loads to when it's available, so if the people who normally cook at 8 now have to cook at 7, or the people who normally cook at 6 now also need to cook at 7 and so on.
Can easily be seen in the demand over time, during lower stages the demand is lower, even at stage 4 you can see demand being a little higher then it should be.
Click to expand...
Understood, but why the demand jump now? Stage 6 has been over a week now, and been around quite a bit over the last few months. Isn't that why some are trying to add the "cold" factor in, only other thing that's supposedly changed?

One thing I'm reminded of is how long the anc tried to hide the facts about the sabotage going on, went on for many months before they couldn't anymore. Nothing is straightforward with them.

BTW, I've heard some say elsewhere that stage 6 is the new lockdown. Given our history, who knows.. and some still think there's quiet rush jobs underway to catch up in time for winter.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Back
Top
Sign up to the MyBroadband newsletter
X