preparing for a nuclear holocaust

[Vox Populi Vox Dei]

So if the Iranian gov. had to eventually build a nuke or two, what would be the risk of them using them? Surely even a hard core Jihaddi understands the concept of MAD (mutually assured destruction)?

Would they be that doff to attack either of their 2 arch enemies, US or Israel? They must know that retribution would be swift and overwhelmingly disproportionate. Even if they conspired with an 'independant' group and gave them the ability to set of a nuke in the above 2, both would hold them accountable anyway.

Surely they understand there's a big difference between martyring a few 'warriors' and martyring your entire nation?

I'm not so sure. Remember we had an Iraqi Minister whose nickname was "Chemical Ali" and he said the Iraqi's were winning the war (on national tv) while the US were clearly in control.

I don't think logic comes easily to Middle-Eastern leaders. Also I'm quite sure just 1 nuclear missile can wipe out Israel so they'd have achieved their goal of 'wiping Israel off the map'

 

[Roman4604]

I don't think logic comes easily to Middle-Eastern leaders.

They would have to be absolute morons, totally diconnected with reality, to not care about the conequences of these stakes.

Also I'm quite sure just 1 nuclear missile can wipe out Israel so they'd have achieved their goal of 'wiping Israel off the map'

A missile would be too easily detectable and linkable to them. I assume Israel's method of nuclear delivery would be to use fighter/bombers that would be scrambled on the first sign of a launch. Nuclear retaliation would be assured.

A more likely scenario would be a truck bomb smuggled into one of Israel's large cities, however I dont believe they would have the resources to build anything larger than a few kilotons (equiv. to say Hiroshima = 20kt), so they may take out most of the city, but certian not the whole country. Especially not disperesed hardened military bases where they nukes/planes reside. Again nuclear retaliation would be assured.

So I dont see them doing it realistically ... just my 2c.

 

[nocilah]

Question remains would they actually do it?

i dont think Iran would... since Israels conception almost every arab leader has said something 'contreversial' about Israel.

i dont think Iran would ever fly a nuke over to Israel bcuz they are aware of the consequences... unless ofcourse they dont care.

In which case i still dont understand what America's problem is. They seem to disallow anyone from doing anything except themselves. e.g. I am sure Israel is more then capable of fsking up iran but would america allow it?