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Can some one tell me what this is in laymans terms ?
How much will my repayment increase on a 100 k loan ?
Guys, the other thing is....you can negotiate your interest rates with your bank....don't just settle for prime.....shop around.
Not sure if this is still allowed or not but in the past you could change banks with regards to a home load and consolidate some debt into it e.g. car, credit cards, overdrafts etc..only problem is you start off at square one though, but you have a little bit more money in your pocket and unfortunately "lose" all the money you paid already....but that's a last resort kinda thingy
The sub prime problem has nothing to do with too much debt, but everything to do with the way the debt was repackaged and sold off. It was a ticking time bomb - let's hope that the Feds can contain the explosion. In any case, this is in no way related to our interest rate hikes locally.I think he had to do it... Inflation is rising uncontrollably and people are in so much credit that they can't handle it...
I suppose it is unfair on the people who are already knee deep in credit but its their own fault for not planning their finances properly.....
If nothing gets done, it will be the same as the USA here... Apparently they spent more than they earned in 2006 and lent the rest... The sub prime problem in the US has reached uncontrollable proportions. I think this NCA is a good thing, (even though it hasnt been implemented properly) and stops the financial institutions from being greedy and lending out too much...
No. The reserve bank's only mandate is to curb inflation. Inflation has been on the up but the sub prime issue only surfaced about 2 weeks ago, so it wouldn't have been prominent in the data used by the MPC.I wasnt saying they were directly related. I just said that if the mpc dont do something about people taking so much credit we'll end up with a similar situation cos every1 will default on their loans...
And actually it did have an impact cos many analysts felt that the mpc should keep interest rates the same. Globally they are cutting rates cos there is not enuf liquidity...
Although they are not directly, directly related, it does eventually have an affect on the interest rates.. Im actually impressed with Tito and his crew, they are atleast trying to curb household debt via the nca etc. Donno if its owrking tho.. Just causing hassles.
No. The reserve bank's only mandate is to curb inflation. Inflation has been on the up but the sub prime issue only surfaced about 2 weeks ago, so it wouldn't have been prominent in the data used by the MPC.
Tito's only tool (in his opinion) to fight inflation is to raise interest rates. Inflation was fueled up until recently by high debt levels, the fuel price and of course substantial food price inflation over the last 18 months. As it is now, food price inflation is on the increase - despite a year consisting of six interest rate hikes. World share markets' impact on our markets is of little consequence - with the exception of the Rand exchange rates, of course. We are predominantly an importing country - we import a lot more than we produce. This is another concern for Tito.
Agreed - but Tito believes it's his only option.well can issue bonds and prevent financial instutions from lending (NCA).
Those are 2 other options but interest rate is easiest...
Might be a good time for these people to start considering leaving the country. Other countries have had essentially big interest rate increases, but they started at very low levels. I think rates in Europe have increased by 100% - from 2% to a massive 4%.Imagine a guy who has a R3M home two new cars (each say R300K) and say R400K furniture....he's gonna pay almost R2K a month more..i.e. your average JHB exec...Imagine this happens every second month..imaging how much more he's paying since last year...imaging how the noose is tightening...imagine how desperate they're getting...
For my parents that would have been the difference between being able to keep paying and defaulting or cutting back on luxuries like food. We didn't own expensive cars or anything like that, they were just trying to support themselves and their children.Do you know that if you paid your bond over 20 yrs, theres only a difference of a couple of hundered on your monthly repayment.
Over 20 years you pay about double, over 30 years it is about triple.Suggestion: Speak to your bank, ask them to give you a breakdown comparison of R700K over 20 yrs vs 30 yrs...work it out from there if you can afford it, rather take it over 20 yrs.
It is unfair to everyone in multiple ways. It's great to punish people just trying to support their children and get by.I think he had to do it... Inflation is rising uncontrollably and people are in so much credit that they can't handle it...
I suppose it is unfair on the people who are already knee deep in credit but its their own fault for not planning their finances properly.....
They could have increased the fractional reserve requirement.stops the financial institutions from being greedy and lending out too much...
The world runs on credit.Consumer spending is a good thing, but not if its only on credit surely?
Taking steps to increase capacity. If part of the problem is that South Africa is a nett importer, then find ways to build export capacity.And btw, how else should you stop inflation? I never did economics so i have no bloody clue... I know you can give out bonds to decrease money supply and all that stuff but, i dont think there is any other way.. Any people who know about this stuff welcom to correct me..
So all the people complaining to tito, i think his job is harder than you think...
Must post credible solutions instead of saying our politicians are stupid etc..
We comment without fully understanding the complexities of the situation..
With South Africa even importing staple foods the decline in the exchange rate is only going to make the situation worse. Are they going to just raise the rates again?We are predominantly an importing country - we import a lot more than we produce. This is another concern for Tito.
How many would default if interest rates were left as is, but people were given other options to siphon money out of circulation? How many would default if they targeted the supply side of credit?I wasnt saying they were directly related. I just said that if the mpc dont do something about people taking so much credit we'll end up with a similar situation cos every1 will default on their loans...
rendan: there's a few South African circumstances that make interest rate hikes much less effective that they would in other, more developed countries.
In this country we have a unique situation that a minority of the population funds the entire economy. The tax burden on this section of the population is already very high. Continuously raising interest rates (and indications are strong there will be two more this year, bringing the total to 8 in 16 months) impacts this section of the population hardest. The very poor will feel the effect of a rate hike much later, as it takes a while (up to a year!) for interest rate hikes to filter through the economy.
Another thing, the NCA (national credit act) is not a part of the Reserve Bank in anyway. The Reserve bank does not deal with the public directly - but only with commercial entities such as banks. The problem with smacking interest rates to try and curb inflation in this country is that it has never worked in the past, yet they keep trying. There was a time in this country where they actually pushed up the interest rate in an attempt to counter the falling randTito says he has no other tool at his disposal, and he probably doesn't. However, the banks are so focussed on maximising profit that any costs increases handed to them are immediately passed on to the consumers. Now bear in mind that around 20% of the country's population holds the bulk of all formal debt either.
South African's were forced to elevate their debt levels. The rise of prices in everything from houses to food to labour has resulted in escalating costs for businesses and consumers alike. However, despite the multiple rate hikes, debt has increased. This tells us two things:
1. The debt burden endured by South Africans is not necessarily overextending them
2. The majority of South Africans who are in debt are smart enough to ensure that they manage their debt well enough.
So, increasing the rates over the past year has, in my learned opinion, not actually achieved what it was meant to achieve. Inflation has steadily increased, and the latest data shows that sharp increases in the cost of food and labour are largely going to ensure that it wouldn't work this time round.