Is this not in principle the same way American lenders / banks started working - which eventually lead to the whole property ****up in their country and subsequently to the economic crisis the world now finds itself in?
If this is indeed the case and hundreds of first world Western banks failed, what makes our poor rotten African brains think that 5 SA banks will pull this off successfully?
This is just one hell of a recipe for disaster down the line.
In my opinion they are not related.
The main driver behind the financial crisis was the way in which the loans were structured. In the good old days you could buy almost any property and it would almost double in value in say ten years time. The loans for these properties became 'creative' in that you only had to pay the interest on it, no need to pay the capital. Nobody worried, you were eventually going to sell it at a huge profit which will settle the principal debt.
The property market was strong and driven by consumer spending. Demand was strong, supply on the lower side leading to ever increasing prices. Times were changing so consumers started spending less. Fewer homes were being sold leading to lower prices (supply and demand).
Things really became tough and people stopped buying new houses. Prices fell with up to 60%. The banks gave loans of say a billion $ backed by assets that were now only worth 40% of that. The loans were essentially still where they were on day one as the consumer never paid any of the principal off but only interest. So the banks had billions of loans and hardly any assets to back them.
They had to make adjustments so they had to write it off. So in a matter of a year billions in assets had to be written off. So a company that was worth billions now all of a sudden was bankrupt and the government had to step in and essentially buy the company and ensure it stayed open and this was done with taxpayer money.
That in a nutshell was the financial crisis, I know, extremely simplified but that is the basics.
What we have now has more to do with how the banks operated. In a way its related in that the banks are reckless and their actions are not morally acceptable but it has more to do with their operations and the legal implications.
The outcome however might just be a financial crisis like none we have seen before. Think Zimbabwe and you will be about right. Our government is already printing money and borrowing like there is no tomorrow. They cannot even help themselves at this stage how are they going to bail out our big 5 banks when the time comes... also... will they if the crisis was induced by the illegal operations of the bank?
So its a catch 22, yes we need to take the banks to task.... the question is how can this be done without destroying the whole financial system. And the question one must also ask is, should the system be protected at all? Is it not the very system we want to protect that got us here in the first place?
I'm no expert but I just cannot see a silver lining on this one.