Telkom: Bad service, good share
30/12/2005 11:23 AM
By: Bernhardt van der Linde
30/12/2005 11:23 AM
By: Bernhardt van der Linde
Johannesburg - "If you can't beat them, join them," might be a good approach for investing in Telkom shares and partially hedging telephone costs.
A number of analysts currently recommend buying Telkom shares at its price:earnings ratio of 9. A dividend yield of more than 7% is also predicted.
Opportunities
* Broadband internet services should show aggressive growth and its new price structures for internet service providers - rates based on the amount of data used - will have a positive effect on Telkom's profits.
* Vodacom should benefit from Vodafone's larger shareholding, as new products and expansion in new markets, especially Africa, should be very positive for Vodacom's profit. Telkom holds the remaining 50% share in Vodacom, which is responsible for 25% of its turnover.
* Telkom wants to push its debt:equity ratio up from its current 44% to 50% to 70%, which could mean large dividends or the buying back of shares.
Risks
* Rapid and aggressive competition could cause Telkom's earnings from traditional fixed line business to fall.
* The cost of communications in SA is under the spotlight and intervention by the authorities could cause profits to fall. The Independent Communications Authority of SA has restricted the increase in Telkom's rates to the inflation rate minus a productivity saving of 3.5%.
On the last trading day of 2005, Telkom (TKG) was trading at R136, down R2, or 1.4%, on the JSE from Thursday's close of R138.