The SA Vehicle Industry Thread

South Africa's vehicle market has shrunk by 25% in 13 years

The year was 2006, just 12 years into our new dawn. Contractors were chugging away at new stadiums as ordinary South Africans were counting down to the 2010 Soccer World Cup. Business owners were chinking champagne glasses too, with the South African economy growing by more than five percent a year.

South Africa was reaching for the stars and the motor industry was gleefully riding the wave, with an all-time record of 714 340 vehicles sold in that year. In 2005, WesBank’s then CEO Ronnie Watson had predicted that annual sales would approach the million mark early in the next decade and that was starting to look more plausible than ever.

Then came the Great Recession of 2008, along with load shedding, and the following decade South Africans became well versed with terms like State Capture, while economists became accustomed to putting a zero at the beginning of annual GDP growth figures.

But the hard hitting truth of the economic reality is perhaps best demonstrated by South Africa’s annual vehicle sales figures. We were meant to be selling over a million a year by now weren’t we? But in 2019, total sales amounted to just 536 626, which is 2.8 percent less than the year before.

But a far more sobering fact is that the vehicle market is actually 25 percent smaller than it was 13 years ago, as highlighted by Toyota SA’s President and CEO Andrew Kirby at last week’s State of the Motor Industry (SOMI) address held at Kyalami.

https://www.iol.co.za/motoring/indu...-market-has-shrunk-by-25-in-13-years-42199010
 
Toyota SA says Hilux won the double-cab bakkie sales race in 2019

Toyota SA said as many as 18 712 double-cab versions of its Hilux were registered locally in 2019, representing a three percent year-on-year increase.

According to figures sourced by the studious folks over at our sister publication, Leisure Wheels, Ford sold 18 363 double-cab examples of its Ranger over the same period. A spot of maths reveals the Hilux double-cab ended up beating its Ranger counterpart by a mere 349 units.

Interestingly, the double-cab body style proved to be Toyota SA’s most popular version of the Hilux, accounting for almost 46 percent of the 40 933 units sold over the course of the year. Next was the single-cab on 14 718 units, followed by the xtra-cab on 7 504 units.

https://www.carmag.co.za/news/indus...won-the-double-cab-bakkie-sales-race-in-2019/
 
SA’s car market to shrink again in 2020, says WesBank

The South African motor industry should brace for another tough year, WesBank CEO Chris de Kock has warned.

Speaking at the 2020 Cars.co.za Consumer Awards at Kyalami on Thursday evening, De Kock predicted that the new vehicle market would shrink by 3.5 percent this year, with the total volume amounting to around 518 000 units. He added that both business and consumer confidence were likely to remain subdued for the foreseeable future.

This outlook is shared by Toyota SA’s CEO Andrew Kirby, who predicted an annual volume of 515 000 vehicles for 2020 at the recent State of the Motor Industry event.

WesBank’s De Kock added that the biggest decline this year, in percentage terms, would take place in the light commercial vehicle market, which he expects to shrink by 4.7 percent. This would be due to the sluggish business side of the economy, which should also see medium and commercial vehicle sales dropping by 2.5 percent and 4.3 percent respectively.

Passenger car sales are certainly not immune either, with WesBank expecting a 2.9 percent decline versus 2019.

https://www.iol.co.za/motoring/indu...to-shrink-again-in-2020-says-wesbank-42261818
 
25 best-selling vehicles in Europe for 2019: hatchbacks still dominate

The studious folks over at Jato Dynamics have released a list of the 25 best-selling passenger vehicles in Europe for 2019, with the outgoing Volkswagen Golf still ruling the roost.

Interestingly, while South Africa’s new vehicle market contracted in 2019, new vehicle sales in Europe increased by 1,1 percent for the passenger car market in Europe. In addition, 2019 was the fifth consecutive year of growth for Europe, and the highest result seen since 2007 when the market exceeded 16 million units.

According to Jato Dynamics, some 15 757 412 new vehicles were registered in Europe in 2019. Interestingly, though, the automotive business intelligence company says these positive results can be “largely explained by purchases made in December to get ahead of the new EU emissions regulations that took effect at the beginning of 2020”.



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Ford claims it was South Africa’s leading exporter of bakkies in 2019

Ford says it was South Africa’s leading exporter of bakkies in 2019, with some 65 908 units of the Ranger leaving local shores over the course of the year.

By our maths, that's 2 456 units down on the firm's export effort in 2018.

The Blue Oval brand says its “nearest rival” – that'd be the Toyota Hilux – was some 16 402 units behind in the export race in 2019. The news comes after Toyota SA Motors said its Hilux grabbed back SA's double-cab bakkie sales crown in 2019, claiming a 33 percent share of the segment.

Ford’s local arm says it enjoyed “strong demand” from Europe, where the Ranger notched up its best-ever sales tally of some 52 500 vehicles. The Silverton assembly plant in Pretoria ships the bakkie to more than 100 global markets.

“Since we began building the current-generation Ranger in 2011, 400 000 units have been exported around the world,” said Ockert Berry, vice-president for operations at Ford Motor Company of Southern Africa.


Ranger.JPG
 
Ford claims it was South Africa’s leading exporter of bakkies in 2019

Ford says it was South Africa’s leading exporter of bakkies in 2019, with some 65 908 units of the Ranger leaving local shores over the course of the year.

By our maths, that's 2 456 units down on the firm's export effort in 2018.

The Blue Oval brand says its “nearest rival” – that'd be the Toyota Hilux – was some 16 402 units behind in the export race in 2019. The news comes after Toyota SA Motors said its Hilux grabbed back SA's double-cab bakkie sales crown in 2019, claiming a 33 percent share of the segment.

Ford’s local arm says it enjoyed “strong demand” from Europe, where the Ranger notched up its best-ever sales tally of some 52 500 vehicles. The Silverton assembly plant in Pretoria ships the bakkie to more than 100 global markets.

“Since we began building the current-generation Ranger in 2011, 400 000 units have been exported around the world,” said Ockert Berry, vice-president for operations at Ford Motor Company of Southern Africa.


View attachment 790107
Check the white Ranger at the top of the carrier - Supercab Wildtrak. Foreign markets get SO MUCH more choice in models....
 
South Africa's 10 best-selling bakkies of February 2020

The sales figures for February 2020 are in ... and as many as 1 017 units separate the top two vehicles on our list of South Africa’s best-selling bakkies.

According to Naamsa, February’s new vehicle industry sales came in at 43 485 units, representing a 0,7 percent fall compared with the corresponding month in 2019. The light commercial segment, meanwhile, showed a 17,7 percent drop to 11 625 units compared with February 2019.

South Africa’s 10 best-selling bakkies of February 2020:

1. Toyota Hilux – 2 895
2. Ford Ranger – 1 878
3. Isuzu D-Max – 1 333
4. Nissan NP200 – 1 167
5. Nissan NP300/Hardbody – 737
6. Mahindra Pik Up – 327
7. Toyota Land Cruiser Pick-up – 218
8. Volkswagen Amarok – 176
9. GWM Steed – 156
10. Nissan Navara – 125

 
For February 2020 Suzuki continues to increase its sales (another "Best ever") while Haval have virtually stayed the same. Clearly the 'old club' OEMs are losing flavour.
Toyota is >1000 units down. VW 300 units down.
BMW and Mercedes will now only report on a quarterly basis.
 
South Africa's 10 best-selling passenger cars of February 2020

According to Naamsa, South Africa's February 2020 new vehicle sales came in at 43 485 units, representing a fall of 0,7 percent, year on year. Here’s what happened in the second month of 2020 in the passenger vehicle segment...

Take note that some brands – including BMW, Mercedes-Benz, Porsche and Haval – continue to provide only aggregate data (and thus no individual model sales).

So, what happened in February 2020 (be sure to check out our list of SA's best-selling bakkies, too)?

Well, the Volkswagen Polo Vivo remained at the very top of the pile, with the Polo hatchback likewise retaining second (for the record, VW SA also registered 540 units of the Polo sedan during the month).

Ford’s Figo jumped as many as five places to grab third, forcing its EcoSport sibling down one spot to fourth. Toyota’s Fortuner returned to the table in a strong fifth place, with the Renault Kwid dropped two to sixth.

South Africa’s 10 best-selling passenger cars of February 2020:

1. Volkswagen Polo Vivo – 2 417
2. Volkswagen Polo hatchback – 2 120
3. Ford Figo – 1 068
4. Ford EcoSport – 997
5. Toyota Fortuner – 975
6. Renault Kwid – 892
7. Toyota Corolla Quest – 884
8. Suzuki Swift – 761
9. Hyundai i20 – 676
10. Hyundai Grand i10 – 674

 
New Car Sales in SA: February 2020

While the declining car sales slump is set to continue, February 2020 sales numbers reflected a sliver of positivity against the backdrop of a struggling economy.

While many may have predicted worse scenarios, aggregate new car sales in February 2020 proved to be better than expected, but still fairly grim...

Aggregate new vehicle sales posted a marginal decline of only 0.7% across the board, which is a marked improvement over January’s 8.1% decline. It must be noted, however, that the omission of BMW’s sales figures in January painted a less desirable picture. Now, though, BMW and Mercedes-Benz will provide quarterly sales figures and the latest figures from The National Association of Automobile Manufacturers of South Africa (NAAMSA) provide sales estimates for each company.

New Car Sales Summary in SA: February 2020

- Aggregate new car sales at 43 485 units down by 0.7% (-320 units) compared with February 2019.

- Passenger car sales of 29 655 units up by 7.6% (+2 098 units) compared with February 2019

- LCV sales of 11 625 units down by 17.7% (-2 497 units) compared with February 2019

- Export sales of 30 832 units down by 8.4% (-2 843 units) compared with February 2019

 
South Africa's vehicle market shows signs of stability in February

South Africa’s new vehicle market showed signs of stabilising in February, with overall vehicle sales having declined by 0.7 percent compared to the same month in 2019, according to Naamsa.

A total of 43 485 vehicles were sold in February, representing a year-on-year decline of 320 units, but the passenger car market actually showed some positive growth, gaining 7.6 percent versus the same month last year, while commercial vehicle sales declined by a worrying 17.7 percent. Thankfully it wasn’t all doom and gloom on the commercial front, with the medium and heavy vehicle markets (often a harbinger of economic activity) growing by 3.8 percent and 3.7 percent respectively.

 
SA vehicle sales | Hilux gets consumers' love in February 2020

The Toyota Hilux was the top-selling bakkie in South Africa during the second month of the year.

The Hilux, SA's favourite vehicle in 2019, sold 2895 units in February, more than a thousand units clear of the second-placed Ford Ranger (1878 units).

The Isuzu D-Max bested the Nissan NP200 to third place, toppling the half-tonner 1333 units to 1167 units. The Nissan NP300 managed a sales figure of 737 units.

In sixth place is the Mahindra Pik Up on 327 units, ahead of the Toyota Land Cruiser Pick-up (218 units), and Volkswagen Amarok (176 units).


c9f3d1efc5b2463cb7545406837414d0.jpeg
 
Coronavirus impacts new SA vehicle sales during February

Note: BMW South Africa and Mercedes-Benz SA Limited will, effective immediately, report sales information quarterly. This is in line with both companies’ global directives. Naamsa has provided estimates for domestic new vehicle and export sales for both companies.

Naamsa (the National Association of Automobile Manufacturers of South Africa) released their aggregate sales figures for February 2020 and reports that the decline in new vehicle sales spilled over into the second month of the year.

Reflecting on the new vehicle sales statistics for the month of February, Naamsa confirmed that aggregate domestic sales at 43 485 units showed a decline of 320 units or 0.7% from the 43 805 vehicles sold in February last year. Export sales at 30 832 units also registered a fall of 2 843 units or a decline of 8.4% compared to the 33 675 vehicles exported in February last year.

Overall, out of the total reported Industry sales of 43 485 vehicles, an estimated 34 956 units or 80,4% represented dealer sales, an estimated 11.4% represented sales to the vehicle rental industry, 4.3% to government, and 3.9% to industry corporate fleets.

 
SA's 12 worst-selling passenger cars (under R500k) of February 2020

So, what happened in the second month of 2020? Well, Subaru again failed to sell a single Impreza, while Fiat could register just one Panda. The Abarth 595 range ended February on two units, a number matched by the Suzuki Grand Vitara (although we hear the latter will soon be discontinued, it's still listed on the firm’s local website).

Alfa Romeo’s Giulietta managed three registrations, while Opel’s Adam and Combo Life could muster just four apiece. Fiat found six buyers for its 500X, while the Landwind X5 closed the month on seven registrations. Opel’s woes continued with the Astra, Grandland X and Mokka X managing nine sales each.

SA's 12 worst-selling passenger cars (under R500k) of February 2020:

Subaru Impreza – 0
Fiat Panda – 1
Abarth 595 – 2
Suzuki Grand Vitara – 2
Alfa Romeo Giulietta – 3
Opel Adam – 4
Opel Combo Life – 4
Fiat 500X – 6
Landwind X5 – 7
Opel Astra – 9
Opel Grandland X – 9
Opel Mokka X – 9

 
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