@Geoff.D you sound like you know your stuff i have a genuine question: is the Gov not allocating spectrum because of incompetence or is there a technical reason you can share so I can improve my understanding
Unfortunately, the situation is SA is all about corruption and political interference in a highly complex technical environment by people who have no understanding about the damage they are doing.
Then add to that gross incompetence within the DoC, plus a paucity of technical expertise within ICASA.
But at the same time, as SWA points out, most of the current operators are also extremely lax about exploiting the capacity they already have at their disposal.
(Failure to migrate to newer technologies and re-farm their existing capacity, undertake much better coverage planning, etc).
The ITU lays out the spectrum usage plans up to 30 years ahead, develops the band plans, lays down the broad interference mitigation strategies and sharing strategies and then each country has to implement the same within fixed time frames within their territories.
The current "5G" band plans were finalised within the ITU as far back as WRC 2000 ( 20 years ago!). And SA was directly involved in that process, so we cannot claim we did not know what was coming or what was being prepared for.
And that is where our lot have completely lost the plot. The delays in sorting out even a simple thing such as the DTT migration causes a ripple effect throughout the entire region. The precise reason for the freeing up of low-frequency bands is to allow these to be primarily used in sparsely populated areas for delivering the sort of services us urban dwellers increasingly take for granted, where pervasive fibre networks are still very difficult to implement and afford.
Spectrum not utilised is spectrum wasted forever. The negative impact on our economic growth is there for all to see.