Variable vs Fixed rate

The market is currently pricing in a 50% chance of a 50bp cut. Sees rates 50bp higher than current levels in 12-18 months time. Sees them rising after that. Remember that when you want to fix long-term, the bank factors this in. So you have to ask yourself whether you believe rates will rise by more than the market believes. If you do, then fix.

the real question with fixing is whether there is some level of rates which your pocket can't afford. then do you see rates getting there? If yes, fix. Of course we do not know what the owrld holds in the future, so what might seem a sensible decision today could turn out to be foolish in the fullness of time. But what I think is important is that when you made a decision, the variables at the time supported it.
 
If you're buying a car, you might get 3% less interest on variable than on fixed. So pay that extra 3% into the loan every month and save on interest now, while it's still early in the loan. That would squash the amount of interest you HAVE to pay every month. So when the interest does shoot up, you've got a big safety buffer. You'll effectively be several payments in advance, so you have the option to NOT pay more than you'd have paid on fixed anyway.

In an ideal world, awesome. But most people see them paying their cars off at R2350 a month and won't bother paying in that 3% they save on the variable rate. And then when it jumps to R3200... yes... well.. my advice is more sound for the average Joe out there who doesn't really know how to use their money effectively
 
The market is currently pricing in a 50% chance of a 50bp cut. Sees rates 50bp higher than current levels in 12-18 months time. Sees them rising after that. Remember that when you want to fix long-term, the bank factors this in. So you have to ask yourself whether you believe rates will rise by more than the market believes. If you do, then fix.

the real question with fixing is whether there is some level of rates which your pocket can't afford. then do you see rates getting there? If yes, fix. Of course we do not know what the owrld holds in the future, so what might seem a sensible decision today could turn out to be foolish in the fullness of time. But what I think is important is that when you made a decision, the variables at the time supported it.

Yup, and I'd invest heavily in the stock market too because that has a 50% chance of... wait WTF!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!
 
In an ideal world, awesome. But most people see them paying their cars off at R2350 a month and won't bother paying in that 3% they save on the variable rate. And then when it jumps to R3200... yes... well.. my advice is more sound for the average Joe out there who doesn't really know how to use their money effectively

If the average Joe just sees r2350 vs R2700 for variable vs fixed, your advice will fall on deaf ears to begin with as he'd just take the "cheaper" option.
 
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