Wishful Thinking

Gandalf the Gray

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A member on a forum I frequent has this image in his signature. Will we get these speeds in say 50 - 100 years?
 

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Hopefully yes.

We just need to rid ourselves of the draconian thoughts that are "That is overkill", "Why would we ever need that".
 
Well based on what actually drove internet speeds (porn) in the early internet days, my best non-educated guess, is some weird AI interactive porn/sex etc.

25 years ago - before the widespread adoption of https - ISPs ran "transparent" web caches / proxy servers to deliver the same content repeatedly to subscribers.

It was handy as the CNN or BBC logo didn't have to be downloaded via simplex satellite every time someone wanted to read the news.

Our web cache was around 75% porn.
The scary part was that we had about a 60% cache hit rate.
Subscribers downloaded the same images from TheHun, ATKingdom or one of the original free sites.
 
A member on a forum I frequent has this image in his signature. Will we get these speeds in say 50 - 100 years?
We trialled this at my home with Vumatel. Its totally possible, active E.

But they patched me into an uplink port so they would need to upgrade some kit to offer it commercially. PON would need even more investment but still possible.
 
We trialled this at my home with Vumatel. Its totally possible, active E.

But they patched me into an uplink port so they would need to upgrade some kit to offer it commercially. PON would need even more investment but still possible.

The sad truth is people buy the minimum they need and then hammer the connections.

We've been slowly replacing all 10+ year old epon OLTs with nice, shiney new xg-pon OLTs and then replacing the ONTs at the same time. Our reasoning has always been that you can't provide 1Gb service on a 1Gb port because of overhead.

It's a total waste of money, but I'd rather replace a unit before it dies during "Netflix hour".

Those new OLT's sit there idling all day. Uptake of fast services is dead slow. As I write this, one cluster of OLTs, with 270 connected clients is transferring 550Mb in total. Of those 270 users that are on line, 8 are redlining their 30Mb connections.
 
2.5G, 5G and 10G are not that far off. We are testing 10G with a few FNO's to explore feasibility.
 
the speedtest that you showed is actually from a datacenter.
Not difficult to achieve if you have access to a virtual Machine in a corporate environment.

You can even do it with a disposable browser.

Will one day get to those speeds for residential access???
definitely, but either wifi speeds need to be upgraded and your network ports too.

I believe commercial switches can achieve 2.5gpbs at the port, but 10Gbps with SPF ports. and if you add wifi 6, which in theory can achieve 9 Gbps, the RJ45 port may still be a bottle neck.
 

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We trialled this at my home with Vumatel. Its totally possible, active E.

But they patched me into an uplink port so they would need to upgrade some kit to offer it commercially. PON would need even more investment but still possible.
Here is the article if anyone was interested in viewing
 
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