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What are you willing to bet on that?Windows 7 has already overtaken Vista and will most likely overtake XP very soon, def. within a year.
I will take that bet. Windows 7 will dominate, there's no doubt in my mind. It's growth curve is way ahead of Vista. (where Vista was at the time).
This is because it's fast, stable and has good features. It's a good OS.
For me the question isn't about the "goodness" of the OS but rather, how many PC's will be sold in the next couple of years till the next Win OS and till the NEXT one?
Have a look at the stats here:
http://www.w3schools.com/browsers/browsers_os.asp
You can see non Windows OSs gaining roughly a percent each year. You do the maths.
How long?
well, until Microsoft releases a fix to their UAC for newbies who don't know how to disable it.
7 will dominate over XP since microsoft is forcing people to use 7. If they provided both OSs side-by-side, XP would remain dominant for quite a while since it's just a better OS.
How long?
well, until Microsoft releases a fix to their UAC for newbies who don't know how to disable it.