I've been reading some threads and must say Im really enjoying this election, we dont know what could happen really... But we know what has happened, so I dont know if everyone knows about news24's special elecion page, but thought I share it... And point out some points I've noticed:
http://www.news24.com/News24/Elections/Home
In 1994 19 million people voted, 1999 and 2004 about 15 million, that is a decline of about 5 million voters in a country that has more people now... Im being optimistic and I think that we might hit 19 million again this year, this is one of the most interesting elections since 1994.
Now in 1994 the NP got 20% of the countries votes... ANC got 62% and IFP got 10%... In 1999 ANC increased to 66%, the NP wasnt around anymore and their votes basically got split between the NNP (7%) and DP (10%)
Now from that statistic, remember voters dropped by 4 million... You can gather that a lot of people didnt see the point in voting anymore... In 2004 the NNP had 2% votes, DP got 12% votes... Now this is interesting the amount of voters stayed the same, so basically it means that more white people stopped voting, because to be honest the DP and NNP is more white orientated parties? The ID also did good... With 2%, I would say that would be some old DP/NNP supporters.
Now with the DP and NNP both gone, the DA basically takes there place... So lets say that should be 15%... I also feel that the ID has a weaker campaign this time round so the DA should get some of their votes, AND the DA is doing really good in the Western Cape, so they have a good reputation...
Is it just me being very optimistic, or do you also feel that the DA might have a chance of getting 20% of the votes if you look at those figures?
I wont go on about COPE, ANC and IFP... Post is already to long, but look at the website it is quite interesting
Also sorry about making this a bit racial, but after reading this thread:
http://mybroadband.co.za/vb/showthread.php?t=168420
Which I agree, with I thought I'd post this.
http://www.news24.com/News24/Elections/Home
In 1994 19 million people voted, 1999 and 2004 about 15 million, that is a decline of about 5 million voters in a country that has more people now... Im being optimistic and I think that we might hit 19 million again this year, this is one of the most interesting elections since 1994.
Now in 1994 the NP got 20% of the countries votes... ANC got 62% and IFP got 10%... In 1999 ANC increased to 66%, the NP wasnt around anymore and their votes basically got split between the NNP (7%) and DP (10%)
Now from that statistic, remember voters dropped by 4 million... You can gather that a lot of people didnt see the point in voting anymore... In 2004 the NNP had 2% votes, DP got 12% votes... Now this is interesting the amount of voters stayed the same, so basically it means that more white people stopped voting, because to be honest the DP and NNP is more white orientated parties? The ID also did good... With 2%, I would say that would be some old DP/NNP supporters.
Now with the DP and NNP both gone, the DA basically takes there place... So lets say that should be 15%... I also feel that the ID has a weaker campaign this time round so the DA should get some of their votes, AND the DA is doing really good in the Western Cape, so they have a good reputation...
Is it just me being very optimistic, or do you also feel that the DA might have a chance of getting 20% of the votes if you look at those figures?
I wont go on about COPE, ANC and IFP... Post is already to long, but look at the website it is quite interesting
http://mybroadband.co.za/vb/showthread.php?t=168420
Which I agree, with I thought I'd post this.