Lekota's Bodyguard Kidnapped!

PoiZoNouZ

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BREAKING NEWS: Lekota's personal bodyguard kidnapped
Eyewitness News has learnt former defence minister Mosiuoa Lekotas's personal bodyguard was kidnapped on Friday in Pretoria.

The man was held at gunpoint for over three hours before being released.

Lekota has told Eyewitness News he suspects the incident was linked to the announcement he made this week that he's served divorce papers on the ANC.

He says the abductors warned his bodyguard that Lekota was planning to form a breakaway party.

The former ANC chairperson says the matter has been reported to the police.
 
First Mbeki's bodyguard gets killed, now this... Things are looking very scary if you ask me. I will need a nice anonymous proxy via which to access the forums soon, just to be safe.
 
It was Julius Malema. He's been eating too much Jungle Oats. Now he's too big and too strong.
 
It was Julius Malema. He's been eating too much Jungle Oats. Now he's too big and too strong.

Without a doubt. More specifically members of the old MK military unit (the same ones that killed Mbeki's guard).

Intimidation tactics mean they worried. Lekota must break away and target the whole Xhosa side of the ANC now, separate from the Zulu side of the party. Would be an interesting split if he could make that happen. :cool: Brilliant for democracy too!
 
Intimidation tactics mean they worried. Lekota must break away and target the whole Xhosa side of the ANC now, separate from the Zulu side of the party. Would be an interesting split if he could make that happen. :cool: Brilliant for democracy too!

A split based purely on racial/ethnic motives would not be brilliant for democracy, more like a fat disaster. In a functional democracy parties are supposed to be divided based on political or social aims, not just cheering on their own ethnicity. That's one of the big differences between where democracies in Europe succeeded and democracies in Africa failed. We've had ethnic parties spring up all over Africa and they seem to inevitably lead to civil war.

One big problem with ethnicity driven parties is it makes it much easier for the ruling party to target opposition parties. Just head off to a Xhosa/Zulu area and get the police to beat a few people. Then the opposition party claims you were just picking on them because they were Xhosa/Zulu and starts to feel aggrieved. Then we get a new "struggle". And at that point we can look at the playbook from the rest of Africa and see how ethnic conflicts end.

Edit: To clarify, I'm all for the ANC splitting, but I'd like it to be on ideological grounds and not just a "my team/your team" thing. I can't believe that Lekota is doing this on ideological grounds, because I think it would be mighty hard to believe that Thabo Mbeki was any better at sticking to the original aims of the ANC/Freedom Charter.
 
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A split based purely on racial/ethnic motives would not be brilliant for democracy, more like a fat disaster.
I completely disagree.

I'll take an ANC split any way/shape/form because a one party state is terrible for democracy. The split I mentioned is possible, and I don't live in an ideal world so I'll take it.
 
I completely disagree.

I'll take an ANC split any way/shape/form because a one party state is terrible for democracy. The split I mentioned is possible, and I don't live in an ideal world so I'll take it.

Sure, a one party state is terrible for democracy, but ethnic clashes can take a state from LIMITED DEMOCRACY to FAILED in no time flat. Maybe I'm forgetting some countries where a democracy with parties drawn straight down ethnic lines works well, I personally can't think of any.

I can compare the rest of Africa though, where parties based on ethnic lines spelt doom for the country (UNITA vs MPLA, ZANU vs ZAPU, MRND/CDR vs The Tutsies). South Africa has managed to keep relatively politically stable partly because the ethnic differences have been downplayed, and the ANC has kept the "better life for all" message playing. We don't want a repeat of the IFP vs ANC.

We've also had a long history of racial/ethnic oppression and people are very sensitive to it. The moment people start to get the slightest whiff that it's going to start to happen again, the guns are going to come out. Everyone's seen the level of tolerance South Africans can have towards "others" during the xenophobia crisis, now watch what happens when the "others" are actually able to put up a fight.

The problem is it's just so easy for even a hack politician to play the race/ethnic card. Look at how effectively it's used against the white population to dismiss any criticism out of hand, without having to deal with the underlying issues. If one was running the "Zulu" party while Thabo Mbeki was running the country, one could have scored cheap and big political points by saying that the only reason Mbeki didn't do anything about AIDS is because he was trying to kill Zulus. There'd be a huge uproar, but people could start to think "hey, the biggest AIDS rate is in KwaZulu-Natal, and no one can be that stupid about the causes.... maybe there's a ring of truth to it".

Then you just get your own Malema to keep beating an inflammatory drum: "This president is killing us! He has sat idly by for years while our friends and relatives have died. Even the Apartheid government never dared such genocide. We beat the oppressors before, we'll beat them again." You don't deny it but just let it simmer (like JZ does when Malema makes his stupid statements about counter-revolutionaries). Given enough time you'll totally polarise the electorate. They've done exactly the same thing in America with the Republicans playing fear tactics, and the us-vs-them game.

If Lekota gets this party off the ground and turns this country into a Zulu vs Xhosa battleground, I personally give SA very little time.
 
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SIDEBAR DIGRESSION:

...democracies in Europe succeeded and democracies in Africa failed. We've had ethnic parties spring up all over Africa and they seem to inevitably lead to civil war.
Perhaps.

But it's also worth remembering that much of the political struggle in Europe -- and almost all of the European wars from early 19th C right into our own time -- was/is to more-or-less align the political (state boundary) reality with the ethnic or social reality. In other words, to get the political boundaries to more or less correspond with the social reality on the ground: Frenchman (mostly) in France, Germans in Germany, Italians in Italy, Serbs in Serbia, etc, etc. See the ongoing saga in the Balkans, or the recent spat between Georgia and Russia. Even the 39-44 War in Europe was driven by Hitler's ostensible desire to unite the millions of ethnic Germans living outside Germany in E Europe and Russia.

Now I'm not sayng ethnic identity is the most important thing (for me it's actually rather primitive, something to evolve beyond), but historical experience cannot simply be ignored.

Looking at Africa through this lens, we can see why almost of all of the continent is doomed to petty dictatorships and ethnic wars.

The state/political boundaries in Africa bear little if any relation to the reality on the ground. That's because the state boundaries were drawn up by colonial governments HQd in Europe.

Other than a few single-ethnos-dominant states, such as Botswana, Lesotho, Swaziland for example, I can't think of a single sub-Sahel African state that is really a proper nation in the original sense of the word.

Who says South Africa is a country? Or Zimbabwe? Or Kenya, Nigeria, Tanzania, DRC ... or almost any other African country? It's European colonialists who drew our boundaries, and I for one believe it's insane to expect Africans to suddenly do what others have found impossible.

The ethnic/party examples you cite are quite apt: UNITA-MPLA-FNLA, ZANU-ZAPU, etc, etc, and these are indeed disastrous for any country. But African political movements decay into ethnic factions for the same reasons they did in Europe, Asia and elsewhere: in the winner-takes-all Westphalian state system currently obtaining, the quickest way to securing or increasing political power is by building 'identity' blocs, and the easiest route is ethnic identity because it has direct personal and cultural appeal to each member of the ethnos.

In my view, the following are necessary (but not sufficient) if Africa is ever to develop:

1) The current European-imposed state boundaries must disappear. The map must be redrawn to reflect social realities. Why must Africans struggle to live together in boundaries they had no hand in creating? This will require a major revolution, which is not in prospect. It's worth noting that the OAU and its successor AU both enshrined the principle of uti possidetis, which prevents the issue from being tackled or even discussed.

2) The role of the State in controlling and allocating economic resources must be dramatically reduced. For over a century we have seen the State's role expand beyond anything seen since the last days of the ancien regime in late 18th C France. The notion that states must provde housing, education, health care, utilities, employment, etc is a relatively recent one. The authentic new states in Africa (see 1 above) must avoid these temptations and do everything to foster private development. If they do, I am quite sure Africans will stun the world with their innovativeness, creativity and hard work, and rapid development.

/sidebar
 
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Arthur a quick comment for now- http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nation_state (term that would be of use)
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A huge difference between the democracies of Western Europe and Africa is that European democracies more closely align to the idea of a 'nation-state', whereby nation (ie "ethnicity") and state (the political boundaries) coincide; whereas in africa the legacy of largely arbitrary colonial boundaries has meant that political states are usually not nation-based.
 
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