Rain and storm for Cpt

[cenredash]

Dafuq?

To me that read like those comments where someone says. "My cat died. You guys have been such a great support." so you sit in a meeting and response with a thumbs up emoji .. thinking you're saying .. We're here for you, but then later you hope it isn't seen as giving a thumbs up that the cat died.

But back to topic. Lovely cool morning. Even a slight 2 minutes drizzle in rondebosch.

 

[Dimpie (JIGSAW)]

Lovely weather

 

[Gordon_R]

The sunny and warm conditions today (Mon 12th) will gradually change, until a well-developed cutoff-low brushes the SW-Cape coast on Thurs 15th and Fri 16th. This will bring cloudy and considerably cooler weather, but limited amounts of rain (on land).



Source: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/international/cpci/data/00/gfs.t00z.totp.day5.safrica.gif

 

[Dimpie (JIGSAW)]

The sunny and warm conditions today (Mon 12th) will gradually change, until a well-developed cutoff-low brushes the SW-Cape coast on Thurs 15th and Fri 16th. This will bring cloudy and considerably cooler weather, but limited amounts of rain (on land).

Source: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/international/cpci/data/00/gfs.t00z.totp.day5.safrica.gif

22ºC ... not exactly cooler in my books

 

[Gordon_R]

22ºC ... not exactly cooler in my books

Typical daytime temperatures in CT are 27C in summer, anything below 24C is definitely cool. Anyway the cutoff-low will bring cloudy and windy conditions, and it will feel a lot cooler in the Overberg region...

 

[The_Mowgs]

The sunny and warm conditions today (Mon 12th) will gradually change, until a well-developed cutoff-low brushes the SW-Cape coast on Thurs 15th and Fri 16th. This will bring cloudy and considerably cooler weather, but limited amounts of rain (on land).

View attachment 1660366

Source: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/international/cpci/data/00/gfs.t00z.totp.day5.safrica.gif

Another beautiful day holy smokes. This weather must never change.

 

[genetic]

The weather has been great lately. No wind (except for the past Saturday), hot sunny days. I'm loving it!

 

[dualmeister]

60% chance of rain on Thursday... hell yes!

 

[Geoff.D]

60% chance of rain on Thursday... hell yes!

Depending on which weather witchdoctor you consult, the chance of rain on Thursday is 80, 60, or zero %.

 

[WAslayer]

Yeah, my money is on a no show to barely a spit of rain for Thursday..

 

[dualmeister]

Depending on which weather witchdoctor you consult, the chance of rain on Thursday is 80, 60, or zero %.

 

[Gordon_R]

Depending on which weather witchdoctor you consult, the chance of rain on Thursday is 80, 60, or zero %.

Greater Cape Town covers a large area, from Atlantis (West Coast) to Strand on the east coast of False Bay. A cutoff-low has rather restricted geographical range, so its effects will vary over parts of the city. It will definitely rain more in the south and the east, but perhaps not so much in the north and the west. The exact amounts and peak location are hard to determine in advance.

Edit: Peak rainfall is likely around midday on Thurs 15th:



Source, updates every 6 hours (next at 10am):

Climate Prediction Center NCEP Model Forecasts and Analyses

 

[dualmeister]

Depending on which weather witchdoctor you consult, the chance of rain on Thursday is 80, 60, or zero %.

My phone

 

[The Darkness]

60% chance of rain on Thursday... hell yes!

Just an aside: the % on weather forecasts isn't the 'chance' it will rain. It indicates the % of the area that will experience rain.

 

[airborne]

Just an aside: the % on weather forecasts isn't the 'chance' it will rain. It indicates the % of the area that will experience rain.

Since when, on TV weather reports they always say there will be a 60% chance of rain?

 

[oldBastard]

Since when, on TV weather reports they always say there will be a 60% chance of rain?

Always been that way, people just misunderstood it.

 

[Gordon_R]

The cutoff-low may not be particularly intense (over land), but it will have quite widespread effects. Daytime temperatures below 20C are predicted for much of the interior of the Western, Northern and Eastern Cape on Fri 16th, and down to 10C over the mountains of the SW-Cape, spreading eastwards to KZN on Sat 17th.



Source: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/international/cpci/data/00/fcsts_safrica.shtml

 

[dualmeister]

And it's raining

 

[Gordon_R]

Rained just before sunrise. Nice puffy showery clouds this morning, with no wind at present. Not typical Black South Easter conditions (yet).

 

[Naks]

Absolutely bucketing in Stellies right now, and strong winds too!