The SA Politics Thread Part 6

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The_Right_Honourable_Brit said:
Also, the predicted failure of new parties like Action SA, BOSA and Rise shows how difficult it is to make inroads in the SA electorate. The SA electorate is a tough cookie to crack...we're not easily enamored by small parties with bold claims.
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ActionSA is going to their first national election, only contested in local, Bosa and Rise are brand new, it will take time. Surely someone who supports a 34 yo party that is seemingly stuck on 20% shouldn't be this cocky?
 
ToxicBunny said:
So I'm not 100% sold on the failure of the new parties... I think a few will emerge from this cycle with a relatively stable level of support, we are definitely moving away from a majority party world into a coalition world with multiple smaller parties.
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It will be a schitshow of majestic proportions :love:
 
ToxicBunny said:
So I'm not 100% sold on the failure of the new parties... I think a few will emerge from this cycle with a relatively stable level of support, we are definitely moving away from a majority party world into a coalition world with multiple smaller parties.
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all the smaller parties are all banging the same anc drum though.
 
TheChamp said:
ActionSA is going to their first national election, only contested in local, Bosa and Rise are brand new, it will take time. Surely someone who supports a 34 yo party that is seemingly stuck on 20% shouldn't be this cocky?
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Considering that these parties like to claim the electorate is tired of the "same, old parties", you'd expect them to be polling at 5% or above. I'm not being particularly harsh on them...5% is a good yardstick to see if they have long-term potential. You are going to get the shock of your life if you think the DA is only getting 20%! DA base supporters like me are much more positive than in 2019 where many base supporters were not enthused by Mmusi and were simply voting DA to lower the ANC vote share.
 
Eniigma said:
I"m sure this has been discussed ad nauseam already but I'm too lazy to search for it.

What are the chances and if high chance, who would the like parties be to a DA lead alliance or coalition national gov?
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I doubt that a DA led coalition will occur. Even the biggest DA supporter or dreamer probably realises that the chance of reaching 201 seats without the ANC, EFF and MK is incredibly low.
 
The_Right_Honourable_Brit said:
Considering that these parties like to claim the electorate is tired of the "same, old parties", you'd expect them to be polling at 5% or above. I'm not being particularly harsh on them...5% is a good yardstick to see if they have long-term potential. You are going to get the shock of your life if you think the DA is only getting 20%! DA base supporters like me are much more positive than in 2019 where many base supporters were not enthused by Mmusi and were simply voting DA to lower the ANC vote share.
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I just also know I don't want to waste my vote on a fly by night. Let see if they have the grit to keep up before I waste my vote.
 
cr@zydude said:
I doubt that a DA led coalition will occur. Even the biggest DA supporter or dreamer probably realises that the chance of reaching 201 seats without the ANC, EFF and MK is incredibly low.
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Yeah, it is in fact zero. Unfortunately the other MPC parties have not pulled their weight. The DA and IFP to a lesser extent the only ones who have had good campaigns.
 
G'Wobblez said:
I just also know I don't want to waste my vote on a fly by night. Let see if they have the grit to keep up before I waste my vote.
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Quick one, do you believe a proven non fly by night party with 0.5% that has been there since 1994 with the same 0.5% adds more value than a new party with 2 to 5% that has more influence in parliament?

I just want to get how exactly this longevity works.
 
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