The Tornadoes, Cyclones, Hurricanes & Typhoons Thread.

The Trutherizer said:
Yeah, hope is fine. Wind shear could be a factor, but it's not wise to bank on the best case scenario. Best case is mostly as likely/unlikely as the worst. Hurricanes are known to piss all over anybody's expectations.

So they should wisely prepare for something in the middle:
  • A Cat4 landing
  • A foot or two greater surge
  • A couple inches more of rain
  • It's passage over Florida taking a few hours more.
That's how you cover your bases, instead of leaving bits sticking out.
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Yep. Did not weaken overnight. Predicted to hit as a Cat 4 with 130mph (209kph) winds now.

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As far as wind shear is concerned... It looks to me like the fringes of the storm is happily feeding into the jet stream, with the core of the storm unaffected.
 
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Monstrous Hurricane Milton spawns tornado supercells hours ahead of landfall: ‘Seek shelter now!’​


In total, 53 tornado warnings were issued by 3 pm on Wednesday, the National Weather Service in Miami said​

The monstrous Hurricane Milton is fast approaching Florida, bringing “storm surge” and “tornadic supercells.” Expected to make landfall in The Sunshine State between Wednesday night and early Thursday morning, Milton has been dubbed “an extremely dangerous major hurricane.” With evacuation windows in several counties coming to a close, residents are bracing for the Category 4 hurricane's impact.


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https://twitter.com/x/status/1844080976311484867

https://twitter.com/x/status/1844076362388398129
 
Luke7777 said:
@Geoff.D will know... he was alive then :D
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It is called knowing the history and knowing where to find the historical records -------

Which means also don't fall for the MSM hype but go and check the data yourself. --- Then you get a very sobering picture of what has happened in the past against which this storm should be measured when it has done its worst.
 
Interesting article with discussion and charts about the relatively unusual (but not unprecedented) 2024 Atlantic hurricane season:
www.bbc.com

Atlantic hurricane season 2024: How unusual has it been?

Hurricanes Helene and Milton have bookended a particularly stormy period. What's behind it?
www.bbc.com www.bbc.com
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Gordon_R said:
Interesting article with discussion and charts about the relatively unusual (but not unprecedented) 2024 Atlantic hurricane season:
www.bbc.com

Atlantic hurricane season 2024: How unusual has it been?

Hurricanes Helene and Milton have bookended a particularly stormy period. What's behind it?
www.bbc.com www.bbc.com
b01566a0-87ce-11ef-b6b0-c9af5f7f16e4.png.webp

b209c720-87cf-11ef-8936-1185f9e7d044.png.webp
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Michael Mann forecast in excess of 33 storms ---- all CAT 3 and above. He is gonna have egg on his face spread by a hockey stick. And BTW what is with the date 1990? Why not go back to when records started being kept? Before 1935. And if you do that you find Milton come in in 19th place! The worst ever Hurricane in the US happened in 1935. It has held on to number 1 place ever since.
 
Geoff.D said:
Michael Mann forecast in excess of 33 storms ---- all CAT 3 and above. He is gonna have egg on his face spread by a hockey stick. And BTW what is with the date 1990? Why not go back to when records started being kept? Before 1935. And if you do that you find Milton come in in 19th place! The worst ever Hurricane in the US happened in 1935. It has held on to number 1 place ever since.
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The study refers to the Atlantic basin as a whole, not just storms that made landfall. Prior to the satellite era some areas had poor coverage, and were not counted fully. The advent of radar satellites allowed for remote wind speed measurements, giving a more accurate intensity classification. You can't draw proper charts based on isolated and partial data. Studying the past is always harder.
 
Yet another typhoon hits Taiwan:
www.bbc.com

Typhoon Kong-rey hits Taiwan

The storm is the largest typhoon to directly hit Taiwan in nearly 30 years.
www.bbc.com www.bbc.com
At one point before it made landfall, Typhoon Kong-rey was packing winds over 200km/h close to its centre, making it the equivalent of a Category 4 hurricane.
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It has also caused power outages in half a million households, according to electricity supplier Taiwan Power Company.

It is unusual for a typhoon this big to come so late in the year. Taiwan’s typhoon season, according to its weather agency, generally falls between July and September.
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The eastern part of Taiwan, which is set to be hardest hit by Typhoon Kong-rey, may see up to 1,200mm of rainfall between 29 October and 1 November, according to the island’s weather agency forecasters.
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Yet another typhoon in the Philippines:
www.bbc.com

Sixth typhoon in a month makes landfall in Philippines

Super typhoon Man-Yi is the latest storm forecast to potentially cause life-threatening conditions.
www.bbc.com www.bbc.com
While typhoons are not uncommon in the Philippines, forecasters say it is unusual to see so many tropical storms in the Pacific at the same time during the month of November.
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Closer to home, the Southern Indian Ocean is experiencing its second named storm for the 24/25 season. So far, none of the storms have affected many people, petering out before they make landfall.
 
Impressive extra-tropical cyclone, equivalent to our cutoff-low:
www.bbc.com

Pacific bomb cyclone brings deaths and power outages to US north-west

The storm is bringing damaging winds, snow and excessive rainfall that could lead to landslides.
www.bbc.com www.bbc.com
High winds are leading to power cuts. On Wednesday morning, more than 600,000 homes in Washington were without power, according to poweroutage.us. Around 15,000 customers were experiencing outages in California.
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The heavy, wet snow that has fallen on the Cascades and North Rockies will start to thaw towards the end of the week as milder air is ushered in.

This snow melt, combined with further heavy rain, is likely to lead to severe flooding in places from Northern California to Oregon, with a significant risk of landslides as the week ends.
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They are referred to as bomb cyclones due to the explosive power of these storms caused by the rapid fall in pressure.

The storm brings with it an array of weather, ranging from blizzards to severe thunderstorms to heavy precipitation.
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THe first of the season to potentially be a threat to the mainland of Africa. Came out of the blue with very little warning that it was going to develop.
 
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