Will escalating violence and brutality lead inexorably to another rigged election - or is Zimbabwe on the verge of a new era? Plus don't miss William Gumede, Dumisani Muleya, Peter Hain and George Walden
For opponents of the 84-year-old Gabriel Robert Mugabe, the campaign of violence meted out by pro-government militias begs a crucial question. Either it is history repeating itself - the latest episode in a long catalogue of brutality leading, inexorably, to a rigged election and another lease on power for his ossified regime; or this latest assault on opposition supporters marks the last chapter in the long and blood-soaked struggle for democracy in Zimbabwe, and the threshold of a new era.
Nobody can predict with certainty the outcome of the looming presidential election - not even the malleable Zimbabwe Electoral Commission, which dithered for almost a month before announcing the results of the inconclusive first-round ballot on 29 March. And for all his ruthlessness, Mugabe craves a legacy as the man who gave Zimbabweans back their land: it is far-fetched, but not inconceivable, that he would defy the tightly knit Joint Operations Command (JOC) - a council of political, military and intelligence chiefs which is the real centre of power in Harare - and concede defeat.
To me that seems unlikely but you never know. Maybe the JOC or whoever holds the real power will negotiate a better deal with the MDC and give up Mugabe.