I think, from an economist point of view, that a situation like 1998 will be obtained a lot quicker this time round, i.e at lower interest rates than then. My reasoning is simply that mortgages in the late nineties were based on relatively affordable prices at the onset - at least between the lower and middle scale of affordability. Today, however, mortgages are based on the upper end of affordability - people generally bought the most expensive homes in their price bracket in terms of their perceived affordability - whereas in real terms the margin from being able to afford to being in ***** street is literally only an interest rate hike or two away for many new home owners.