It is pretty likely that SA has an insane Coronavirus infection rate, and that we will realise as much before this extended lockdown ends. Which will almost certainly lead to super-extended lockdowns.
While I think we will have further lockdowns, it isn't an action I support, for the following reasons:
- Total lockdowns are inherently ineffective. SA will not achieve herd immunity before a vaccine exists, the townships and taxis cannot adhere to social distancing and the virus can be reintroduced to the population at any point and start spreading rapidly again. It is not feasible to lockdown indefinitely while we basically wait for a vaccine.
- As everyone likes to scream out like it's a novel (ahem) idea, what exactly are we saving if we let the economy crumble into dust? The economy needs to get going as soon as possible.
- For the average South African, whatever the odds of dying due to Covid-19 are, the odds of dying due to starvation are much higher.
- So just accept the reality of the situation. There can be no true lockdown, so don't chase that notion. Let people get back to work, let kids go back to school and emphasise/subsidise hygiene as much as possible.