Israel preparing for nuclear Iran: report

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Israel preparing for nuclear Iran: report

Israel is preparing for Iran to become a nuclear power and has accepted it may happen within a year, the London Times reported on Monday citing an Israeli security report.

The Institute for National Security Studies (INSS) think-tank prepared scenarios for the day after an Iranian nuclear weapons test at the request of former Israeli ambassadors, intelligence officials and ex-military chiefs, the paper reported.

Israel has so far maintained it will do all within its power to prevent Iran from obtaining nuclear capabilities, but has shifted its position following recent United Nations' reports, according to the Times.

The UN atomic agency said Monday that Iran is now enriching uranium at a new site in a hard-to-bomb mountain bunker, in a move set to stoke Western suspicions further that Tehran wants nuclear weapons.

INSS specialists including a former head of Israel's National Security Council and two former members of the prime minister's office conducted the simulation study in Tel Aviv last week.

If Iran does test a nuclear weapon, INSS predicts a profound shift in the Middle East power balance.
According to extracts of the report seen by the British publication, experts believe the US would propose a defence pact with Israel, but would urge it not to retaliate.

Russia would seek an alliance with the US to prevent nuclear proliferation in the region, although Saudi Arabia would likely pursue its own nuclear programme, the report concluded based on current policies.

INSS specialists believe that an Iranian test in January 2013 would follow increasingly provocative demands by President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's regime, including the redrawing of its Iraqi borders and action against the vessels of the US Fifth Fleet.

"The simulation showed that Iran will not forgo nuclear weapons, but will attempt to use them to reach an agreement with the major powers that will improve its position," said a passage of the report published by the Times.

"The simulation showed that (the Israeli military option), or the threat of using it, would also be relevant following an Iranian nuclear test," it added.
Israel condemned intelligence chief Meir Dagan last June after he speculated that Iran may obtain nuclear weaponry.

Conclusions from the simulation have been sent to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, the Times reported.

Iran, which insists its nuclear programme is for exclusively peaceful purposes, has repeatedly said it will not abandon uranium enrichment despite four rounds of UN Security Council resolutions calling on Tehran to desist.
While nuclear energy plants need fuel enriched to 3.5 percent, Iran says the 20-percent enriched uranium is necessary for its Tehran research reactor to make isotopes to treat cancers.
http://news.yahoo.com/israel-preparing-nuclear-iran-report-232933454.html
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Israel keeping up the tempo.
Russia would seek an alliance with the US to prevent nuclear proliferation in the region
Is it only me that finds this a little odd - Why would Russia do that?

although Saudi Arabia would likely pursue its own nuclear programme,
This would be US backed wouldn't it?
Seem's there's been murmurings of it last month
DUBAI, United Arab Emirates (AP) — A Saudi prince, in a remark designed to send chills through the Obama administration and its allies, suggested that the kingdom might consider producing nuclear weapons if it found itself between atomic arsenals in Iran and Israel.
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/12/07/w...bia-may-seek-nuclear-weapons-prince-says.html


INSS specialists believe that an Iranian test in January 2013 would follow increasingly provocative demands by President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's regime, including the redrawing of its Iraqi borders and action against the vessels of the US Fifth Fleet.
Based on what?
(Full report is still under pay for view)

Way the article is written sounds like this report is off to Netanyahu the same time that the Press has been sent it so what is it just more wardrum propaganda?

As far as i make out Iran being a signatory to NPT is allowed to enrich to 20% which is all it is claiming it is doing.
Israel isn't even a signatory to NPT but is bitching

From the NPT Wiki page
On September 18, 2009 the General Conference of the International Atomic Energy Agency called on Israel to open its nuclear facilities to IAEA inspection and adhere to the non-proliferation treaty as part of a resolution on "Israeli nuclear capabilities," which passed by a narrow margin of 49-45 with 16 abstentions. The chief Israeli delegate stated that "Israel will not co-operate in any matter with this resolution."[41]

Guess it depends on who your friends are as to what happens to who in the nuclear arena.
 
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I would rather a stable democracy have nukes but hide them than a wild theocracy have nukes 10 times out of 10.
 
I would rather a stable democracy have nukes but hide them than a wild theocracy have nukes 10 times out of 10.

You think war mongers who have used nukes before should have nukes rather than people who have never used them and claim they don't want to use them.

I guess it's a sign of the times :D.
 
I'd rather give them to someone who has learned from their mistakes than to an unstable country still waiting to make them.
 
I'd rather give them to someone who has learned from their mistakes than to an unstable country still waiting to make them.

By someone learning from their mistakes, your not referring to the USA I hope. The US have made it a law that in an event they they loose a war they can resort to nukes, that means any country that goes to war against the USA has to concede defeat or face a nuclear wrath.

I hope for the Iranians they should really attain a nuclear weapons so that there can be a balance of power in the region.
 
Balance of power in the region? Um ok. The US has how many nukes stockpiled? and Iran is going to build how many? 1? 3? 10? Lets be generous and say They go ahead and make 100 nukes. They let even one of those off, their entire country is going to be flattened by the US and its allies who all have a couple thousand of the things. Even if they manage to launch all 100 of them against the US and Israel, they will do a fair ammount of damage, but wont destroy those countries. They however will condemn their entire country to a very brief glimpse at what life is like inside the sun.
 
[video=youtube;FckLO8HcNyo]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FckLO8HcNyo[/video]
[video=youtube;5hLDjGdJC0Q]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5hLDjGdJC0Q&feature=fvwrel[/video]

How can anyone say that these folks should have access to WMDs?
 
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