poweralert stage 2.....

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16% is down due to planned maintenance that's the highest I've seen
That's over 8GW on maintenance, still over 12 on unplanned though :( that really needs to get below 101928739896.jpg
 
wingnut771 said:
Yes, on Monday. They can also lose 2GW in 3 hours.
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They can yes, but they can also do that on purpose, you can increase and decrease coal and nuclear power plants, it's just not a quick thing.
 
wingnut771 said:
Why would they decrease it during peak?
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They start to increase it about 3 hours before by the looks of it and start decreasing it around 8pm, they might have had other issues that would drop it quicker
 
DarkSt0rm said:
Ewwww looks like the dominoes are falling, generation at peak is back to only a buffer of a few hundred MW without using reserves. Hopefully things improve with the update a little later
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Pffft. Their commitment will be solid now, do or die attitude at ANC-Eskom headquarters by the looks of things.
Maybe a bit of Fri/Sat shedding to keep us in line, then done until Jan.
 
DarkSt0rm said:
Ewwww looks like the dominoes are falling, generation at peak is back to only a buffer of a few hundred MW without using reserves. Hopefully things improve with the update a little later
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Highly doubt it. Don't want to make silly predictions like TheChamp, but I'd put at more than 80 probability we don't get any LS (at worst, low levels: say S1 or S2) until next year. I agree with @Brian_G - heavy political pressure from ANC to make the festive season LS free (helped by ridiculously low demand currently).
 
The_Right_Honourable_Brit said:
Highly doubt it. Don't want to make silly predictions like TheChamp, but I'd put at more than 80 probability we don't get any LS (at worst, low levels: say S1 or S2) until next year. I agree with @Brian_G - heavy political pressure from ANC to make the festive season LS free (helped by ridiculously low demand currently).
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You mean normal demand for this time of year? It's only last year when we were almost 3GW less. So there is still that possibility as planned maintenance is high, really high
 
Lupus said:
You mean normal demand for this time of year? It's only last year when we were almost 3GW less. So there is still that possibility as planned maintenance is high, really high
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To me that means a good few units would be ready to hobble back into service at a moment's notice, but as usual the figures will be misleading anyway.
I mostly just watch their behaviour and statement emotions now.
 
Lupus said:
You mean normal demand for this time of year? It's only last year when we were almost 3GW less. So there is still that possibility as planned maintenance is high, really high
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I'm actually pleased when planned maintenance is high - this was largely ignored before De Ruyter came along. High levels of planned maintenance hopefully leads to lower levels of unplanned outages eventually...
 
Don't tell @TheChamp

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What do you do if you have one job — a complex, fraught job — and the fate of the national economy depends on it? You dive deep into the problem and immerse yourself in it, and hope you succeed despite the odds. You also get back up when you don’t, which is more often than not.

This is how electricity minister Kgosientsho Ramokgopa has spent the past nine months. Though, from the outside, it may look as if he’s not been too successful.

South Africa has, after all, spent much of the past year in the dark. Independent energy economist Lungile Mashele calculates the country has experienced about 332 days of load-shedding — and at higher stages than before.

By another calculation, over the 153 days of winter (April 1-August 31), the country endured outages every day, with 55 days spent at a maximum of stage 3; 42 days at stage 4; and 39 days at stage 6. In other words, during winter the economy experienced stage 6 levels of load-shedding in one day out of every five.

This despite the utility chugging through diesel at a rate of knots.
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Of course, this can hardly be pinned on one man — but as the minister directly responsible for load-shedding, Ramokgopa has to be feeling the pinch.
 
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