poweralert stage 2.....

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wingnut771 said:
When they using almost all of them it tells me they are desperately trying to keep the illusion going. They would rather bankrupt themselves burning diesel and wash hands with 25 year old whiskey than to raise the stage another level.
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Agreed.
But the other side of the coin, when they could use more but no longer do? They want us to think it's worse than it is.

S7, maybe S8 may be used as some sort of scare tactic, briefly, but I'm sticking mostly to my S6 max story as well.
 
Brian_G said:
Agreed.
But the other side of the coin, when they could use more but no longer do? They want us to think it's worse than it is.

S7, maybe S8 may be used as some sort of scare tactic, briefly, but I'm sticking mostly to my S6 max story as well.
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It all depends on how much generation they can keep going. We’ve already seen stage 6 with max LC and max turbine use.
 
wingnut771 said:
It all depends on how much generation they can keep going. We’ve already seen stage 6 with max LC and max turbine use.
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If we can believe what they tell us. I don't

Amazing how steady the outcome has become, no matter how extreme the reported changes are. One could almost believe they know what they're doing....
 
Brian_G said:
If we can believe what they tell us. I don't

Amazing how steady the outcome has become, no matter how extreme the reported changes are. One could almost believe they know what they're doing....
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As soon as generation drops to 23GW and there is a cold snap we will go to stage 8.

You can bookmark this post.
 
The_Right_Honourable_Brit said:
So about an extra 2.5GW due to load-shifting. There is no way this increase in power demand is due to a growing economy...
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Well depends on if you look at it from a Tuesday or date perspective, as the 23rd was a Monday so here is our Monday
1684995170837.png

Seems it was actually about the same between last year Monday and this year Monday.
 
wingnut771 said:
As soon as generation drops to 23GW and there is a cold snap we will go to stage 8.

You can bookmark this post.
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You don't find it suspicious that they've been able to keep repairs fairly steady for many years, that experts say they can not only manage the tech but even improve it, that somehow the sabotage hasn't driven things further yet can't be overcome either??

Nah

But anyways..
 
JHB 2022
1684995414489.png

2023
1684995436098.png

Actually about the same, colder in 2022 in some cases.

CPT 2022
1684995524133.png

CPT 2023
1684995504069.png

Also eh
DBN 2022
1684995560895.png
DBN 2023
1684995582429.png

So averagely it's been a warmer May then 2022.
 
Brian_G said:
You don't find it suspicious that they've been able to keep repairs fairly steady for many years, that experts say they can not only manage the tech but even improve it, that somehow the sabotage hasn't driven things further yet can't be overcome either??

Nah

But anyways..
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The reason why it was steady for many years was because there was enough buffer to handle failures so we didn't notice the failures and they didn't make headlines and eskom statements. Now there is no buffer because more stuff is broken, hence the bouncing around of stages as generation and demand goes up and down.
 
wingnut771 said:
The reason why it was steady for many years was because there was enough buffer to handle failures so we didn't notice the failures and they didn't make headlines and eskom statements. Now there is no buffer because more stuff is broken, hence the bouncing around of stages as generation and demand goes up and down.
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By recently saying they aren't going to completely work with their Leftists-partners' goals and must save the economy with coal plants, says they had been holding back on repairs.
No ways we can guess close to the whole story, but they can't be trusted for sure. As you know many times the reported stats don't add up, and then we get excuses like mist and wet coal.

We could debate all day, I'll remain in the part-manufactured-emergency camp.
 
Brian_G said:
By recently saying they aren't going to completely work with their Leftists-partners' goals and must save the economy with coal plants, says they had been holding back on repairs.
No ways we can guess close to the whole story, but they can't be trusted for sure. As you know many times the reported stats don't add up, and then we get excuses like mist and wet coal.

We could debate all day, I'll remain in the part-manufactured-emergency camp.
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They don't have the brain capacity to manufacture something.
 
wingnut771 said:
They don't have the brain capacity to manufacture something.
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They're capable of hiring expert thinkers. And when cooperating with Leftists (not this month) , will get use of their brain power.

There's another factor though - too many cooks, I believe de Ruyter when he says it's total political-manipulation chaos as they battle each other.
 
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