poweralert stage 2.....

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Weird numbers
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Never seen a 1GW jump from 6pm to 7pm like that before and a drop of it again.
 
Skipped midnight to 2am, wonder if they sneaky sneaky suspending.
 
Back to no LS from 11 to 4pm, with my current lot from City Power it makes no difference, but friends down the road they don't have shedding till Friday.
 
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So on Monday when it was supposedly almost stage 4, we had stage 2, tonight we could have stage 1? But they still stage 2??
 
While @TheChamp wants to see spin for Minister Sputla and interim CEO Cassim, the actual cause of reduced loadshedding has nothing to do with the government and all to do with the private sector:

moneyweb.us13.list-manage.com

Thank private solar for no daytime load shedding, not Eskom

In recent days, there hasn’t been an instance of solar PV generating less than 1 300MW during daylight hours.
moneyweb.us13.list-manage.com moneyweb.us13.list-manage.com
 
The_Right_Honourable_Brit said:
While @TheChamp wants to see spin for Minister Sputla and interim CEO Cassim, the actual cause of reduced loadshedding has nothing to do with the government and all to do with the private sector:

moneyweb.us13.list-manage.com

Thank private solar for no daytime load shedding, not Eskom

In recent days, there hasn’t been an instance of solar PV generating less than 1 300MW during daylight hours.
moneyweb.us13.list-manage.com moneyweb.us13.list-manage.com
Click to expand...
They cannot base the stage of load shedding on solar or wind, non-dispatchable power cannot be factored into the demand/load forecasts due to their unpredicitable nature. Sure the rooftoop solar is probably driving demand down, which will contribute, but theirs or IPP solar will not effect the load shedding.
 
Lupus said:
They cannot base the stage of load shedding on solar or wind, non-dispatchable power cannot be factored into the demand/load forecasts due to their unpredicitable nature. Sure the rooftoop solar is probably driving demand down, which will contribute, but theirs or IPP solar will not effect the load shedding.
Click to expand...
How unpredictable is it in summer really though? Also remember Eskom only do it for a 5h window, not the whole day.
 
The_Right_Honourable_Brit said:
How unpredictable is it in summer really though? Also remember Eskom only do it for a 5h window, not the whole day.
Click to expand...
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This is the 23rd from 8am to 5pm, there are 200MW swings in an hour
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Here is the 22nd over the same period, with slightly better swings,

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The 21st for wind, so over a 3 day period the only thing we could say over these 3 days is you may get 2GW after 3pm, or it maybe only after 7pm from wind. On Solar you could almost get 2GW at 10am, or 1.8GW, but by 4pm it drops down to under a GW.
So you cannot for sure say that today at 3pm we will have 2GW of wind, we can assume at best. This lower shedding is due to demand being lower, mainly as 2023 got a lot of businesses and people to migrate over to shedding, it's why we see the higher shedding after 4pm, cause if it was up to wind we'd not be seeing them.
 
This was a year ago
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This was the predicted load last night
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Compared to a year ago thats a 2GW to 3GW drop
This is the last update from Eskom on peak numbers and Sikhonati a year ago
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Both Mondays, but the differences are astounding. Demand has dropped due to Eskom basically driving us away,
 
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