Questions on 'Load Shedding'

Eskom to stop loadshedding for now ... because of reduced consumption
Not for one femtosecond do I believe the reasons given.
Even with the "nearly 10% municipal savings" the shortfall is still typically 1000-3000MW daily.

So what's the real reason, Eskom?

It's true that some turbines have come back online after months of scheduled downtime, but even if the entire installed capacity were bought on stream (which it isn't, nor can be), even the reduced demand still exceeds supply. And it's an open secret that the entire system is over-revving. No, there's still not enough power, by Eskom's own repeated admission, so there must be other reasons than those given for the suspension of scheduled cuts.

This makes me very suspicious.
And very very worried.

We know the distribution infrastructure is taking massive technical strain from all the 'shedding' ups and downs. I'm pretty sure Eskom engineers have warned that continued down-up cycling is causing massive damage to already-creaky sub-stations & switches, destablising the grid even further.

No, I fear what is being spun as good news is a cover for even worse news ... that the grid and key switchpoints are in fact further destabilised by frequent 'shedding' --thermal cycling and thermal overloads caused by repeated on-off-on-off cycles are rapidly destroying regional, local and municipal switches -- and that we're very close to the collapse of the entire grid.

Eskom's bosses aren't in control. They haven't been for 10 years. They've been living off fruit from a tree they didn't plant.

The next three months will be very trying.
But they'll be mild compared to to May, June and July 2009.
 
Ha ha I see the conspiracy theorists are have a field day in this thread too now!

Trouble is they disappear into the woodwork and will only resurface if their theory is proven correct... Things do not turn out as predicted and we will never hear or see from them again...
 
Ha ha I see the conspiracy theorists are have a field day in this thread too now!

Trouble is they disappear into the woodwork and will only resurface if their theory is proven correct... Things do not turn out as predicted and we will never hear or see from them again...
If only that were true . . .
 
Debbie2 - May I suggest you keep a tally of the hours lost over a period of say a fortnight? Our circuit lost 40+ hours over a two week period and when we grumbled at the CPF it appeared to sort itself out. Weird. 4 hours per blackout is totally unacceptable.

Thanks for advice. I agree 4 hrs when it is dark and the temp is >10 is extreme, judging by what others seem to have.

Also - if you have not yet read the latest Noseweek Issue 103 for May 2008 you could find no better reading matter. Eskom is totally OUTED/PWNED!!! Lovely stuff.....

Upload in the public interest ;) .... or mebbe just the first page?
 
Thanks for advice. I agree 4 hrs when it is dark and the temp is >10 is extreme, judging by what others seem to have.



Upload in the public interest ;) .... or mebbe just the first page?

Will try and make a plan but by the time it's done you will probably be able to access it via the website....
And you surely won't have any more powercuts for a while? Hopefully....:)
 
Ha ha I see the conspiracy theorists are have a field day in this thread too now!

Trouble is they disappear into the woodwork and will only resurface if their theory is proven correct... Things do not turn out as predicted and we will never hear or see from them again...

:rolleyes:

Time for a long-overdue ignore++.
 
Just to let folks know, the theatre piece is now written - all 120 pages of it.
Sounds like a lot, but that's roughly a two hour play - working on 1 page = 1
minute roughly..

Finished it yesterday, and am shortly gonna be reading it and seeing what
needs to be done to it (cutting/adding/tweaking etc) then I'll either put a link
to a sample online on one or another theatre forum I'm on, or else I'll just cut
n paste the opening segment, for folk's 'perusal'.
 
Oh its easy! You stop sending the effing powa to our neighbors! Simple!
I see they are starting to make the warning noises about having to make cuts again. Pathetic! :( This is a bad social experiment! Our network here in Peee Eeeee cannot handle the switching Now the nmmetro need to hand out R50mil to replace the switchgear.

Raai wie gaan betaal! :( Pietie! The ratepayer! Not the thousands getting power for free.
 
(here's an excerpt from early on in the piece, the Maid, is raving forth at
the young 15 year old son of the family,(who's just been mugged earlier)
Thought it might be fun to show the joys of Seff Effriken dialog in script
form.
Naturally usual disclaimers apply - the thoughts and opinions of characters
are not necessarily those of the author :P
Can't seem to lay out the script on the page correctly, but hopefully its still
readable


BEAUTY
Every day now, no power. No good.

JACK
Tell me about it.

BEAUTY
I am telling you about it.

JACK pauses, briefly nonplussed by her literal perception.

JACK
No, I meant - it’s an expression, I meant.
It’s.. Oh never mind-

There’s a pause.

BEAUTY
I tell you Jackie. The old days, with the Boers
and apartheid, and all that thing-

She pauses and thinks.

BEAUTY
Better. Much better.

JACK
Apartheid was better? The old days and
all that race stuff, was better?

BEAUTY
Of course! No crime, no skelms, Tsotsi’s, no power cuts.
None of this **** for now days. I mean look here.
Why I must make fast with this ironing, hm?
Because why.
The power she goes off just now.
Then we must sit. Can’t do nothing. No-thing. Niks.
No hot water. No lights. No TV. Oh God.
The ANC always wah wah wah about how is better here
now. What ‘better’?
That Nelson Mandela and Mbeki is bloody ****ing ****, man!

JACK settles back, makes himself comfortable. This is clearly a routine thing – and a good floor show.

JACK
No, don’t hold back, tell us how you feel-

BEAUTY, who takes things literally, naturally misses both the joke, and the barb.

BEAUTY (earnestly)
I’m telling you how I feel.

JACK
Okay-

BEAUTY
I’m telling! I’m telling!

JACK
Okay-

In-between working like a machine at ironing the clothes, Beauty launches forth.

BEAUTY
Let me tell you something-for-nothing, my boy.
The Afrikaner peoples, they was stupid, ne? They
thought they can oh-press us Blacks. They want us
just to be were-kah’s, not human beings, ne? So this
stupid apartheid thing came. It was the law.

But even though they was stupid that time, they
understand they must help us peoples. Us. You can’t
just let the people be suff-er-ing like now, oh God.
You want work from some people, you must feed
those peoples, look after them, their sit-ua-tion.

The Afrikaner some of them were bloody bastards, for sure,
but they look after us, as well. Because they know!
Die Here hy sal sien. ‘God will see them’. And even
in the bad times, we both know, we one people,
Afrikaner and Blacks. We both African
peoples, you hear what I’m saying?
Same blood. White, black but we the same.
And now. Eish. That piece of **** Zuma, Mbeki and all those.
They don’t feel na-thing for no one.
Black people don’t care about other blacks.
They only care for this thing.

She rubs fingers together, making a ‘money’ gesture.

BEAUTY
Money. That’s all. Money for themselves.
And now they talk too much about black this
and white that. Wah wah wah.
They must shut up.
They doing same thing the Boers did. But other way!
And they can’t think for other people.
And anyway, where’s the jobs? Why they let in all the black
people from next door, hm? Nigeria, Mozambique,
Zimbabwe, they all coming here. For why?
Jobs, the money. The money for us. They take.
Aga man!

She makes a guttural sound of contempt.

JACK
Ja, it’s a fckup up hey.

BEAUTY (nods)
For sure.

BEAUTY has gathered up the washing.

BEAUTY (CONT)
But now I must finish toiling hard for my
white oh-ppressors, before the Madam comes.

She and Jack hear the offstage sound of a door opening.
BEAUTY clicks loudly. (African verbal shorthand to say the equivalent of ‘Oy’)
and rolls her eyes, hurrying.

BEAUTY (CONT)
Anyway lovie. You play nice, okay?.

JACK
I’ll try, Mom.

BEAUTY grins, and sticks her tongue out at him, mischievously. JACK grins.
BEAUTY EXITS, with the washing basket
 
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re where's the rest? heh - its a 125 page script - not gonna
post the whole thing :P

busy tweaking some middle bits, then will start sending
the sucker out..

hang in there, I'll choose a nicely hectic section and post a bit
of it..
 
Finally done with the damn revisions. Final tally has the play at 135 pages..

Here's the blurb off the title page:

“If you are neutral in situations of injustice, you have chosen the side of the oppressor.
If an elephant has its foot on the tail of a mouse and you say that you are neutral,
the mouse will not appreciate your neutrality.”
-Archbishop Desmond Tutu

This Play was written; for the mice.

------------
The Play is loosely based on a true story.
It should be stressed that that all events detailed, occur on a daily basis in South Africa.

SYNOPSIS

Amidst the daily power cuts, rising crime and violence, and increasing political uncertainty of
modern South Africa today, a typical South African family has made the decision to leave
their country forever. Each of them is conflicted in different ways over the imminent departure.

To add to their concerns, a young American student is coming to stay with them for a few
days as a house guest, and the family need to put a brave face on their situation.

But Fate has other plans for all of them, as they come face to face with the unrelenting
ferocity of modern South Africa, in all of its contradictions, bitterness, and violence.

The play unfolds in three Acts - a Night, a Morning, and the following Night.
 
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