SA Politics Thread Part 10 : The GNU Has Crashed

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Sultan Mustafa said:
The way I see it, a single poll in the grand scheme of things doesn't mean too much (except bringing severe pain to cadres watching racist DA surpass them...), I would rather look at polls + by-election trends in the run-up to an election.

And as it was in the run-up to 2024, it seems ANC is on their way to another hiding at the polls in 2026.
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Maybe our Parliament TikToker has been observing the by election trends.

 
TheChamp said:
Maybe our Parliament TikToker has been observing the by election trends.

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The problem for the PA is they have a natural cap, which is a very low percentage of the national vote. Educated/urban coloureds won't vote for them (kind of like educated Afrikaners vote DA rather than FF+) and they repel whites, Indians and blacks.
 

  • The DA is fighting more provisions of the Employment Equity Act.
  • The party claims Employment and Labour Minister Nomakhosazana Meth will force employers to self-implement sectoral racial quotas.
  • The DA is already in court challenging the Employment Equity Amendment Act, arguing that transformation comes through inclusive economic growth, not divisive race-based quotas.
The DA is readying itself for another employment equity fight, and this time it’s racial classifications in the workplace.

According to DA spokesperson on employment and labour Michael Bagraim, the party will “vigorously fight” against a pronouncement by Employment & Labour Minister Nomakhosazana Meth that her department will make employers self-implement sectoral racial quotas.

This includes forcing employers to decide and declare the race of their employees, where employees are not willing to disclose their race.

Bagraim said they are consulting with their lawyers and committed to challenging this all the way through to the courts.


“Worse still, Minister Meth has confirmed that this crude racial classification to meet quotas will be put on employees based on ‘generic’ definitions of persons of colour – these ‘generic’ definitions have remained unchanged since 1998,” he said.

Responding to written parliamentary questions from Bagraim, Meth said Section 19 of the Employment Equity Act (EEA) requires all designated employers (those with 50 or more employees) to conduct a workplace analysis of their workforce.

READ | New equity targets: Dept of labour tells workers to ‘relax and fear nothing’

This would include the composition of their workforce at each occupational level in terms of race, gender and the disability status, Meth said.


“Additionally, in collecting information and conducting their workforce analysis, regulation 8 in the EE Regulations, 2025 prescribes that designated employers must request each employee in their workforce to complete a declaration using the regulated EEA1 form at the workplace level.

“Where an employee refuses to complete the EEA1 form or provides inaccurate information, the designated employer may establish the designation of an employee by using reliable historical and existing data to conduct the analysis. Therefore, the verification process must take place at the workplace level and that is the legal responsibility of the designated employer,” Meth said in her reply.

da_michael_bagraim_ee_act_gallo_.jpeg

DA MP Michael Bagraim briefs media on the merits and latest developments in the High Court case against the new quotas for employment equity at Nkululeko House on 5 May 2025 in Johannesburg.
Fani Mahuntsi/Gallo Images
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The best part of the article:
According to Bagraim this would entail that an employee would have to provide their family history, which is personal information, or have their race assumed.

“This is a preposterous suggestion and appears to expect employers to conduct race inspections to tick a box, in order to avoid being fined. This cannot stand in democratic South Africa – the DA refuses to allow this. There is no longer a Population Registration Act and no legal way to determine race,” he said.

The DA also condemns Meth for revealing that no formal evidence was used by the department in establishing the employment equity regulations.

“Our country is in dire need of redress and empowerment to address the injustices of our past. However, if we are to heal the divisions of our past, we must do so based on evidence, in the spirit of justice, and be grounded in our constitutional values of equality and non-racialism,” Bagraim added.
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Certain cadres and analysts need to hear this... @MalcomZ
 
TheChamp said:
I am not the one who is inadvertently casting aspersions on the DA's selection process, and if you pride yourself in your superior selection processes, the rogues should be an exception.
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People get booted when they show their true colors. Next question
 
https://twitter.com/x/status/1934136462066229365

  • DA members are vying to become the party’s mayoral candidates ahead of next year’s local government elections.
  • In Johannesburg, candidates include caucus leader Belinda Kayser-Echeozonjoku, who faces scrutiny over a controversy linked to her husband, and DA federal chair Helen Zille, who is considering a return.
  • In Tshwane, former mayor Cilliers Brink remains a frontrunner, while in Ekurhuleni, all signs point to Tania Campbell stepping aside, clearing the way for new candidates.
As the DA gears up for next year’s local government elections, internal jostling has begun among party members vying to be considered as mayoral candidates across Gauteng’s three metros – Johannesburg, Tshwane and Ekurhuleni.

With the party in the final stages of selecting councillor candidates, City Press understands that at least eight DA members have thrown their names into the hat for the Johannesburg mayoral candidacy, with some sources suggesting the contest could be one of the party’s most contested races in recent years.

According to newly appointed DA campaign manager Ashor Sarupen, the party has received thousands of applications for councillor positions across the country – possibly the highest number so far submitted to the DA for public office.

“So far, it’s been very good. We’ve had several thousand applications,” Sarupen said. “It might well be the highest number of applications we’ve received for public office in the DA, which is very encouraging.”




Johannesburg: Zille weighs her options as leadership hopefuls line up



Helen Zille, the DA’s federal council chairperson, has confirmed that she is considering making herself available to run as Johannesburg’s mayoral candidate.


Zille confirmed that she had been approached to take on the role, but was yet to make a final decision. She noted that her family remained an important consideration.

“My grandchildren are my entire world,” she said, indicating that her decision would hinge on discussions with her family, who live in Cape Town.

Zille emphasised that if she did decide to stand, she would have to undergo the “exact same gruelling selection process as everyone else”.

I love Johannesburg, and I’m convinced there’s an opportunity for the DA to overtake the ANC as the largest party in the City of Gold.
Helen Zille
Another person believed to be in contention for the DA’s Johannesburg mayoral candidacy is current DA Joburg caucus leader Belinda Kayser-Echeozonjoku. She replaced former Joburg mayor Mpho Phalatse as caucus leader in 2023 and has publicly stated her vision for the city. However, sources say her chances may be dampened by some controversies she’s been caught up in.

In April last year, a News24 report revealed that Kayser‑Echeozonjoku allegedly owed City Power more than R400 000 in unpaid bills across at least four properties.

Kayser-Echeozonjoku was embroiled in a dispute with City Power over allegations that a building linked to her husband was significantly behind on municipal payments. She denied any wrongdoing and suggested the issue was part of a political smear campaign against her within the DA. City Power, however, maintained that its focus was on recovering arrears, not on politics.

Additionally, a senior DA source told City Press that “the party is worried about her husband’s reputation”.

There were allegations about her husband being implicated and involved in one of those hijacked buildings in Joburg that were said to be owing the city money. There is worry that will be detrimental to the party’s image and cause concern if she ever becomes mayor, on the basis that her husband may attain some sort of power from her mayorship.
Source
She had also received criticism on social media about her spouse’s nationality; he is Nigerian.

While Kayser-Echeozonjoku has not publicly confirmed her candidacy, insiders say she is “treading carefully” in the contest.

Other candidates in Johannesburg include:
  • Solomon Maila, the DA’s Johannesburg shadow member of the mayoral committee (MMC) for public safety and former campaign head for Phalatse in 2023;
  • Bongani Nkomo, shadow MMC for economic development in Johannesburg; and
  • Vasco da Gama, the former City of Johannesburg speaker who was ousted via a motion of no confidence in 2022.
READ: ‘I’ll do anything to save this city’ – Helen Zille considers DA mayoral run in Joburg

Tshwane: Brink eyes a return; Mathebe and Uys also in the mix​

In the City of Tshwane, former mayor Cilliers Brink is expected to contest for a return to the mayoral seat.


Brink was removed through a motion of no confidence in September, supported by the ANC, the EFF and ActionSA. His former deputy, Nasiphi Moya, was elected mayor in October under the new ANC-EFF-ActionSA coalition.

Other names under consideration in Tshwane include:
  • Jacqui Uys, former MMC for finance in Tshwane; and
  • Katlego Mathebe, former speaker of the Tshwane council, also removed through a motion of no confidence led by the ANC and the EFF.
The contest in Tshwane is expected to be tight, with insiders suggesting that Brink remains a strong contender, but Mathebe and Uys could emerge as consensus candidates if intra-party dynamics shift closer to candidate finalisation.

READ: DA closes in on record councillor candidate pool for 2026 elections — ‘We’re going for growth,’ says campaign manager

Ekurhuleni: Campbell bows out​

The Ekurhuleni race has also begun to take shape, with several new names emerging as former DA mayor Tania Campbell steps aside from active contestation.

Campbell, who led the municipality during an unstable coalition period, has since relinquished her caucus leadership role. Sources suggest that some DA members were frustrated by what they described as her proximity to the EFF during her tenure.

“She was seen as too close to the EFF and that didn’t sit well with some of the members,” a party insider said.

Potential candidates in Ekurhuleni include:
  • Khathutshelo Rasilingwane, a former MMC for community safety and current member of the Gauteng legislature;
  • Malcolm Maifala, a ward councillor in Alberton;
  • Lucky Dinake, the DA current chief whip in Ekurhuleni; and
  • Raymond Dlamini, a former DA speaker in Ekurhuleni.
Each of these candidates brings a combination of political and administrative experience to the table.

The DA’s leadership selection process has often been intense and highly competitive, especially in major urban centres such as Johannesburg, Tshwane and Ekurhuleni, where power can easily swing, depending on coalition dynamics.

Sarupen said that, while the volume of applications was unprecedented, the DA remained committed to “finding the best and most credible candidates”.

“It’s about getting the best possible leaders who are passionate about their communities and who can help turn our towns and cities around,” he said.

The local government elections could see a reshaped electoral landscape, especially with the ANC’s support dipping nationally, and newer political formations such as the MK Party, ActionSA and Rise Mzansi gaining traction.
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Favourite part:
Campbell, who led the municipality during an unstable coalition period, has since relinquished her caucus leadership role. Sources suggest that some DA members were frustrated by what they described as her proximity to the EFF during her tenure.

“She was seen as too close to the EFF and that didn’t sit well with some of the members,” a party insider said.
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Remember the victimhood Mashaba always whips out about this? Seems like the same happened to Campbell.

Become buddy-buddy with EFF, and you're gone.
 
Sultan Mustafa said:
The way I see it, candidates will probably be:

JHB: Gogo
PTA: Brink/Mathebe
EKH: Rasilingwane/Dlamini
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No clue who those EKH folk are. Gogo and Brink should be an easy win. I know most of the other JHB candidates and they are all lightweights. I heard Kayser-Echeozonjoku on a podcast and she is very underwhelming. Has no chance.

I think it's quite obvious that the DA's mayoral candidates in JHB and TSH will most likely become mayor. Almost like the Democractic primaries in NYC. That is why all the opposition parties are shitting themselves, while the citizens are rejoicing.
 
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