Gatecrasher
Executive Member
- Joined
- Jan 11, 2005
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The R30.00/GB is calculated with a contention ratio of 1:1. Normally the ratio is around 20:1 so it would be R1.50/GB. With a ratio of 30:1 the price would be R1.00/GB. Much cheaper than we're paying for right now. Add in costs and a profit margin of 100% and R2.00/GB is reasonable at a contention ratio of 30:1.
Not so, because you can't sell 20x or 30x 331Gb on a single 1Mbps pipe. Your service would be shocking. and your customers would burn down your business. The average Joe with his 3gb would only reach 1/20th or 1/30th of his cap. The real price is much higher than R30/gb, because the 331gb used in the calculation assumes that the pipe is being utilized at 100%. That is very unlikely.
The two killers in the STM-1 calculation are
Seacom Lease R737 446 (Which is similar to Telkom's SAT-3 of R800 000)
and
Local Transit R755 000.
On the IRU model, the Seacom cost for STM-1 drops to +-R500k including maintenance, if the cost of the pipe is fully expensed over 5 years, which is more reasonable than 20 years. So ISPs buying their pipes should be able to provide the bandwidth somewhat cheaper. I think there is a lot of room for these prices to fall further given that the limited price savings to local consumers is unlikely to spark a huge increase in demand. We are going to see some very empty cables unless prices fall a lot further.
And of course the real killer is the Local Transit of R755 000 (R5 000 per month per 1Mbps). This is where we are all being seriously ripped off. This is where the regulator should be stepping in and slicing away the fat.
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