very good article, imo
sounds very much like him too
sounds very much like him too
http://www.businessday.co.za/articles/Content.aspx?id=147755
The ANC Youth League and other opinion makers have been arguing for a while now that South Africa’s mines and banks should be nationalised.
It should be accepted that these proposals are not merely the product of shrewd political manoeuvring. As analysts from across the political spectrum have pointed out, they are the effects of the pain and anger caused by persistent grinding poverty for millions, deep-rooted mass unemployment, and a level of inequality that is both morally unacceptable and constitutes a real threat to social cohesion. The statistics are chilling: 65% of South Africans live on less the R550 a month – less than a monthly satellite TV subscription. 12% are desperately poor, struggling to survive on R150 a month. One in five children shows signs of malnutrition. The unemployment rate for black South Africans under 30 is over 50%. Two-thirds of 15-to-30 year olds who want work have never been able to find a job.
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If, however, it is envisaged that the ownership of banks would be seized without compensation, then a cogent explanation needs to be given to the domestic savers, individual pensioners, pension funds, domestic financial institutions and international financial institutions who are shareholders for why they should contemplate such seizure with equanimity. Furthermore, how would the decision make process work? Would South African constitutional law permit this?
Persistent and aggressive talk about nationalisation is arguably a signal that the answers to these may result in ratings downgrades in due course as a result of what the ratings agencies call a ‘deteriorating policy environment’ pursuant to an inability by policy makers to resist the impulse to re-write the rules when political pressures mount.
If that worry gets really serious, it is arguable that South Africa could suffer a ‘sovereign downgrade,’ as Venezuela did in 2002 when the Chavez government threatened to nationalise the banks there. And if South Africa seemed to be at risk of following Venezuela’s example, every South African individual and company - banks included - would find it much more expensive to borrow money.
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Second, experience from all over the world shows that nationalised banks and state-run banking systems usually turn out to be expensive misadventures - precisely because they are not managed properly. [...lists several examples]
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Those African countries that have avoided experiments with wholesale bank nationalisation – notably Botswana, Kenya, Mauritius and South Africa – are also those with the most advanced financial systems and the most developed economies on the continent. This isn’t a coincidence: worldwide, the statistics show, there’s a strong positive relationship between the appropriate development of the financial sector and national wealth.
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Finally, South Africa’s banks need to do more than just refute the pro-nationalisation arguments. We need to work harder as committed corporate citizens to reduce poverty, unemployment and inequality. As long as these persist at current levels, no spirited protestations will be convincing to those that are excluded and marginalised who find banking and finance undemocratic.
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