Stage 4 load-shedding implemented without notice

Where are all those people who think winter won't be that bad? It's not even cold and it's already spiralling. When that demand reaches 32k+ then we're going to see those fabled new stages.
 
Where are all those people who think winter won't be that bad? It's not even cold and it's already spiralling. When that demand reaches 32k+ then we're going to see those fabled new stages.
Winter planned maintenance is half
1680265937505.png
 
And its not even WINTER yet.

Hey CHAMP your oke is doing a KAK job.
Minister of NO ELECTRICITY.
 
Someone left the coal out in the Gauteng rain... did you not learn the last time it got "wet"
 
The change was sudden, as this was indicating a lot better even after 12
1680266766663.png

Declared availability was actually 24GW
 
The change was sudden, as this was indicating a lot better even after 12
View attachment 1501387

Declared availability was actually 24GW
So assuming load now is 25k and they estimate winter will be 32-36k that's a demand increase of 7-11k. Even if they reduce maintenance by 4k they're still short 3-7. And that's ignoring the inevitable failure increase that'll happen because of the increased demand
 
So assuming load now is 25k and they estimate winter will be 32-36k that's a demand increase of 7-11k. Even if they reduce maintenance by 4k they're still short 3-7. And that's ignoring the inevitable failure increase that'll happen because of the increased demand
Winter load hasn't been 36k in a long time, but if it does hit 32k it will be at night and currently at night it's 27k, take into account that there is 7GW of planned maintenance happening + 750MW of OCGTS out of the equation. You half the 7GW to 3.5GW + the 750MW you're sitting at 4.2GW more capacity then now, We'd be about the same boat we're in now
 
Winter load hasn't been 36k in a long time, but if it does hit 32k it will be at night and currently at night it's 27k, take into account that there is 7GW of planned maintenance happening + 750MW of OCGTS out of the equation. You half the 7GW to 3.5GW + the 750MW you're sitting at 4.2GW more capacity then now, We'd be about the same boat we're in now
Possibly. I guess we'll see.
 
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