The Tornadoes, Cyclones, Hurricanes & Typhoons Thread.

[BBSA]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1490002688234434567

 

[Geoff.D]

Latest projected track for Batsirai:

 

[Geoff.D]

Meanwhile, number 3 for the season named Cliff has formed:

 

[Gordon_R]

Slow to get reports, but widespread damage in southern Madagascar:

Cyclone kills at least 10 in Madagascar, destroying homes and cutting power

ANTANANARIVO, Feb 6 (Reuters) - A cyclone killed at least 10 people in southeastern Madagascar, the second to hit the Indian Ocean island in just two weeks, triggering floods, bringing down buildings …

www.dailymaverick.co.za

 

[Gordon_R]

The 5th tropical storm of the South Indian Ocean season has formed, and will slowly track north of Mauritius during the next few days. Numerous model runs show landfall in central Madagascar as a powerful cyclone during the middle of next week:



Source: http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/La_Reunion/webcmrs9.0/anglais/tpsreel/trajectoire.png

 

[BBSA]

What is a ‘sting jet’? Scientists warn of repeat of 1987 phenomenon.

What is a ‘sting jet’? Scientists warn of repeat of 1987 phenomenon

After Met Office warning, we explain hard to predict phenomenon that could cause risk to life

www.theguardian.com

 

[Gordon_R]

Updated forecast for TC 05 Emnati, which is predicted to slam into central Madagascar on Tues 22nd:



Source: http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/La_Reunion/webcmrs9.0/anglais/tpsreel/trajectoire.png

 

[Gordon_R]

The latest satellite image shows a developed eye of Emnati, confirming it's power and intensity:



Source: https://eumetview.eumetsat.int/static-images/MSGIODC/IMAGERY/IR108/BW/WINDIANOCEAN/

 

[Gordon_R]

The predicted track of TC Emnati has veered a bit southward, and will mostly affect south-eastern Madagascar, before moving off harmlessly to the south (away from Southern Africa).

 

[Geoff.D]

ITC Gombe:

 

[Gordon_R]

Spring tornado season in North America:

New Orleans: One killed as tornado tears through suburbs

A huge funnel cloud passes through neighbourhoods, ripping off roofs and cutting out power.

www.bbc.com

 

[Gordon_R]

TC Halima will intensify rapidly, but circle aimlessly in the central Indian Ocean for the remainder of the month:



Source: http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/La_Reunion/webcmrs9.0/anglais/index.html

 

[Geoff.D]

An extremely unusual event for South Africa to experience:

2021–22 South-West Indian Ocean cyclone season - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

Subtropical Depression Issa[edit]​

Subtropical depression (MFR)
Subtropical storm (SSHWS)
Duration	12 April – Present
Peak intensity	95 km/h (60 mph) (10-min) 994 hPa (mbar)

See also: 2022 KwaZulu-Natal floods
On 11 April, a low pressure area evolved near the southeast coast of South Africa from the interaction of an upper-level trough and warmer air near the surface. With warm ocean temperatures and low wind shear, the low developed intense thunderstorms which wrapped around a tight circulation, and dropped heavy rainfall in eastern South Africa. On 12 April, the MFR designated the low as Subtropical Depression Issa, based on the system's structure and the presence of gale-force winds. Issa moved slowly to the south at first,[108] strengthening to reach 10 minute winds of 95 km/h (60 mph) late on April 12. At its peak, the storm had an eye-like feature in the middle of a symmetrical area of thunderstorms.[109] On 13 April, the JTWC classified this system as a "subtropical storm" in an unofficial bulletin.[110] Issa turned to the north back toward the South African coast due to the trough in the region.[111] Increased wind shear and dry air stripped away the thunderstorms near the center, weakening the storm, and causing the MFR to discontinue advisories on April 13.[112]

Floods in South Africa killed 259 people.[113][114]

 

[Gordon_R]

A weak tropical depression will meander down the Mozambique Channel during the next week, with minimal effects on land:



Source: http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/La_Reunion/webcmrs9.0/anglais/tpsreel/index.html#

 

[Gordon_R]

Yes, even Germany has tornadoes:

Tornado in Germany injures 43 people, police say

Officials said the tornado cut a path of destruction during violent storms in the west of the country.

www.bbc.com

Officers in the city of Paderborn said the tornado ripped off roofs and debris was strewn around for kilometres.

Ten people have serious injuries and one woman's life is in danger, they said.

BBC Weather presenter Chris Fawkes said that Germany usually experiences several tornadoes a year, but most are short-lived and do not cause significant damage.

He said the number of tornadoes reported in Europe has been increasing in recent years, but this is largely thought to be a result of better forecasting and more awareness - and includes the advent of social media reports.

 

[Nanfeishen]

2 compilation videos of the German tornado;

Got to love the bit at at the 5:00 mark in the 2nd clip with the umbrella shoved through the door handles

 

[Gordon_R]

Although not tropical, the heatwave in Europe has produced dramatic storms in some areas:

Europe storms: Children among dead in France, Austria and Italy

At least 12 people, including three children, have died in violent storms after weeks of heat and drought.

www.bbc.com

 

[Gordon_R]

Serious flooding in parts of Korea:

Typhoon Hinnamnor: Seven drown in flooded South Korean car park

But two people, who were part of a group that had gone to the car park to move their cars, were rescued.

www.bbc.com

 

[Gordon_R]

Shanghai typhoon:

Shanghai typhoon: Flights cancelled as China's biggest city braces for storm

Typhoon Muifa will be the 12th to hit mainland China this year and is expected to be the strongest.

www.bbc.com

Typhoon Muifa will be the 12th cyclone to hit mainland China this year, and authorities expect it to be the most powerful so far.

Dozens of flights had already been postponed as coastal areas battened down in anticipation of the storm.

Landfall is expected around 19:00 local time (11:00 GMT) on Wednesday.

Waves up to five metres high (16 feet) are expected near Shanghai, China's biggest city and the country's financial hub.

State TV has also warned that "extraordinarily heavy rain is expected" overnight across the densely populated eastern seaboard.

Temporary evacuation centres have been set up in some areas of Shanghai and an emergency evacuation zone has been set up in an area spanning out over 30 kilometres (18 miles) outside the city.

 

[Gordon_R]

Typhoon headed for Japan:

Japan storm: Millions told to evacuate as Typhoon Nanmadol makes landfall

Typhoon Nanmadol has brought winds of 180 km/h, with some four million people told to leave their homes.

www.bbc.com

Typhoon Nanmadol is expected to make landfall on Kyushu island on Sunday.

Winds could reach 270km/h (168mph) and some areas could experience 500mm (20 inches) of rainfall in just 24 hours.

A "special alert" is in force for Kyushu, with warnings of landslides and flooding. Train services and flights have been cancelled.

Kyushu is the southernmost of the four islands that make up the main body of Japan and has a population of over 13 million people.

Once the typhoon makes landfall, it is expected to turn north-east and move up through central Japan towards Tokyo.

It is also expected to maintain much of its strength even after making landfall.

An official from Japan's meteorological agency told reporters on Saturday: "There are risks of unprecedented storms, high waves, storm surges, and record rainfall."