Again give those links to this secret information and which major players back this "new" technology for the computer and Movie industry. By then BluRay will be well entrenched and maybe even cheap and then maybe someone will adopt the new technology for whatever reasons if it will benefit the pocket (investment) or prevent copyright theft. So much for the "obsolete" as all the new movies is released on BluRay. BluRay is here now to stay. The only place where it may still take very long is on the "X'box. So lets do the bet now, as you wanted on HD DVD. But this time I want to be paid in advance as you already lost.
I remember the multilayer argument on the HD DVD where that was touted the replacement and new technology to compete with BluRay's 50Gig never in your mind would you have believed that it was for the BluRay technology instead and now a 500G, damn. What a loser of technology the industry adopted, hey? I would shudder to think what would have happened if the HD DVD format won. Maybe it would have managed a massive 45Gig by now. Who knows.
Maybe M& will invest in some real technology for a change and support BluRay in future, at least on the PC and Windoze.