Nor would I call pulling number out your butt. I guarantee our stats here in south Africa A country with a sophisticated infrastructure where the stats are used by actuaries in the insurance industry, Accurate death certificates are handed out etc, are a damn side more accurate than the rest of the third world. Any conspiracy to hide crime stats would have to involve a hell of a lot of people from all spectrums of life. I find this argument silly that I need to rather listen to liars with agendas like Adrianna Struijt rather than actual professional statisticians. Do you believe in bigfoot too ?
So if I differ from you, I have to believe in bigfoot? Wow, so mature of you to argue that way.
Do police act on all crimes reported? Do people report all crimes? How many crimes are reported wrong? If you know that, you would probably be closer to the real crime levels. But since nobody would know, I wouldn't call the current stats accurate.