Rain and storm for Cpt

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Very dry until the first week in May. Even then the forecasts are only 50/50...

See: http://www.yr.no/place/South_Africa/Western_Cape/Cape_Town/long.html
You seem to be quite clued-up on the weather in the Western Cape area, what's your feeling on the upcoming winter and rain season? I'm asking because my wife and I will be flying down to Cape Town the first week of June for our 32nd wedding anniversary. We'll be staying in the CT City Bowl, but plan to visit the surrounding areas (Stellenbosch, Paarl, Franschoek etc.) quite a bit when we're down there.
 
You seem to be quite clued-up on the weather in the Western Cape area, what's your feeling on the upcoming winter and rain season? I'm asking because my wife and I will be flying down to Cape Town the first week of June for our 32nd wedding anniversary. We'll be staying in the CT City Bowl, but plan to visit the surrounding areas (Stellenbosch, Paarl, Franschoek etc.) quite a bit when we're down there.

I do not make long range forecasts. Anything beyond 7-10 days is pure guesswork, despite what the experts may tell you.
 
So no divining rod, throwing bones or blowing cedar wood ashes against the wind predictions?:ROFL:

Climate scientists like to quote things such as El Nino, Atlantic Oscillation, Jet Stream meanders, and other medium to long term statistical factors. Together they are about as accurate as throwing bones...
 
For long term the best you can do is look at the average over the last 3 or so years.
So for June you look at June last year and the previous few years.
Like @Gordon_R says it is guesswork when you trying to look so far into the future.
Being a weatherman must be awesome, no one can ever fire you for your kak wrongdoings in telling people what the weather is going to be tomorrow :laugh:
 
For long term the best you can do is look at the average over the last 3 or so years.
So for June you look at June last year and the previous few years.
Like @Gordon_R says it is guesswork when you trying to look so far into the future.
Being a weatherman must be awesome, no one can ever fire you for your kak wrongdoings in telling people what the weather is going to be tomorrow :laugh:

Precisely! Wikipedia has a very nice summary of the long-term averages for most cities: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cape_Town#Climate

Can't quote from the table, since the months data are in a vertical column format. Half of the winter days in CT are rainy, half are sunny. Its hit and miss...
 
The most accurate long term forecast is this: There is a maximum of 10 truly good days in a year in CT. The problem is those good days are scattered amongst the other 355 days.

Have a look at this SAWS reference and see if that helps you.

http://www.weathersa.co.za/Documents/Climate/SAWS_CC_REFERENCE_ATLAS_PAGES.pdf

Or this one: http://www.weathersa.co.za/Home/RecentClimate

Various recent climate pdfs are available.

Or some historical rain maps: http://www.weathersa.co.za/Home/HistoricalRain
 
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You seem to be quite clued-up on the weather in the Western Cape area, what's your feeling on the upcoming winter and rain season? I'm asking because my wife and I will be flying down to Cape Town the first week of June for our 32nd wedding anniversary. We'll be staying in the CT City Bowl, but plan to visit the surrounding areas (Stellenbosch, Paarl, Franschoek etc.) quite a bit when we're down there.
Nothing like a glass of Port or Noble Late Harvest in front of a roaring fire inside a 100 yo tasting room....while it pours with rain outside.

But don't worry, our rainy season is July & mostly August.
 
Nothing like a glass of Port or Noble Late Harvest in front of a roaring fire inside a 100 yo tasting room....while it pours with rain outside.

But don't worry, our rainy season is July & mostly August.

To much sugar, and heat. I would be drunk and nauseous in no time.
 
To much sugar, and heat. I would be drunk and nauseous in no time.
moan moan moan
yar such a pussy
now go away and be miserable in Clanwilliam for your birthday weekend with your homos. And stop talking kak on this thread, we have another thread where we vent, tsek.
 
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