The Tornadoes, Cyclones, Hurricanes & Typhoons Thread.

[Luke7777]

And it doesn't stop... let's hope this one has better manners. Or, as my son said : If there's ever a good time for another storm, it's now... while everything is already f*****

 

[Gordon_R]

And it doesn't stop... let's hope this one has better manners. Or, as my son said : If there's ever a good time for another storm, it's now... while everything is already f*****
View attachment 1760892

A yellow X means it is still early days:

Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

Hurricane season lasts until the end of November.

 

[Luke7777]

A yellow X means it is still early days:

Hurricane season lasts until the end of November.

Don't worry, I know what that X means Out of experience over the last 8 years, it's very seldom that anything coming up thru that alley amounts to nothing. May this be one of those times and stay like that for the next 2 months so that those people can catch a much needed break

 

[Gordon_R]

Much less publicity for a storm in Mexico that caused severe flooding:

Mexico counting dead from 'zombie storm' John

At least 15 people are dead after Hurricane John hit Mexico twice, triggering landslides and floods.

www.bbc.com

The storm first made landfall a week ago as a category three hurricane on Mexico's Pacific coast, south-east of the resort of Acapulco.

It then weakened and dissipated over the mountains of Guerrero state before regaining strength over the waters of the Pacific and hitting the Mexican coast a second time, prompting meteorologists to describe it as a "zombie storm".

Meteorologists said that while Hurricane John blew over trees and damaged buildings, the days of torrential rains it caused proved more deadly.

Some places had almost a year's worth of rainfall over a matter of days.

 

[Luke7777]

Much less publicity for a storm in Mexico that caused severe flooding:

Mexico counting dead from 'zombie storm' John

At least 15 people are dead after Hurricane John hit Mexico twice, triggering landslides and floods.

www.bbc.com

Ja, I saw that that one... not quite as nasty as Mrs H

 

[Luke7777]

Don't worry, I know what that X means Out of experience over the last 8 years, it's very seldom that anything coming up thru that alley amounts to nothing. May this be one of those times and stay like that for the next 2 months so that those people can catch a much needed break

Seems it was one of those times Didn't even make further north

 

[Gordon_R]

Seems it was one of those times Didn't even make further north

There are also hurricanes which develop, intensify and dissipate without coming close to land:

 

[Luke7777]

There are also hurricanes which develop, intensify and dissipate without coming close to land:
View attachment 1761484

Yip, we love those that stay there in the middle of the Atlantic

 

[Gordon_R]

The first tropical storm Ancha of the Southern Indian Ocean 2024/5 season is very weak, and will have no effects on land:

 

[Gordon_R]

The next major hurricane is likely to hit parts of the west coast Florida again (though with a different track).

Florida braces for Hurricane Milton's landfall as Category 5 storm

The "monster" storm is due to hit heavily populated Tampa Bay with full force on Wednesday.

www.bbc.com

Rainfall could be between 5-8in (127-203mm) across the Florida Peninsula and the Keys, with some areas receiving up to 12in (304mm), which could bring a risk of flash flooding and minor-to-moderate river flooding for parts of the west coast, the centre said.

 

[Luke7777]

The next major hurricane is likely to hit parts of the west coast Florida again (though with a different track).

Florida braces for Hurricane Milton's landfall as Category 5 storm

The "monster" storm is due to hit heavily populated Tampa Bay with full force on Wednesday.

www.bbc.com

Jip, heading straight for them this time... no more side swiping The counties in the area are extremely worried about damage from leftover debris from Helene. Normally takes them months to clean up after such major flood and storm damage. Was listening to Pasco County's briefing (which is where the kids and in-laws are)

Some more here

 

[Polymathic]

I wouldn't be surprised if Joburg gets hit with the tail end of a tropical cyclone this cyclone season

 

[Gordon_R]

Jip, heading straight for them this time... no more side swiping The counties in the area are extremely worried about damage from leftover debris from Helene. Normally takes them months to clean up after such major flood and storm damage. Was listening to Pasco County's briefing (which is where the kids and in-laws are)

Some more here

Update: Latest forecast shows rapid intensification, effects on Yucatan, and a direct hit on central Florida:


Wide area of large swells predicted:

 

[TrueSeeker]

It ramped up all the way to a Cat5 storm during just part of today. Might weaken to a high Cat3 by landfall, but I wouldn't hold my breath. In the meantime the increased energy is widening the storm way beyond what was originally expected.

This is a detailed Tampa Bay storm surge forecast, at this point.


Fort Meyers


In any case... Clearly hurricanes can be temperamental things.

 

[Geoff.D]

I wouldn't be surprised if Joburg gets hit with the tail end of a tropical cyclone this cyclone season

Which Joburg? You do know there are at least two places with the name Joburg in the World?

 

[HAL 9000]

Glenn Beck interviews the HIGH-PROFILE 'rapid response team' from FEMA (Funnelling Emergency Money to Aliens) - it does NOT go well for them...

"We don't have flyers - so we're distributing PHOTOS of them..."

"We will contact local media to get the message across that we're here" (the region is WITHOUT power, so how do TVs, radios & cell-phones get power?)

"Oh, you can charge your phones in your cars" (the ones that have been washed away and are lying upside-down in the rivers?)

 

[Groggyme]

Glenn Beck interviews the HIGH-PROFILE 'rapid response team' from FEMA (Funnelling Emergency Money to Aliens) - it does NOT go well for them...

"We don't have flyers - so we're distributing PHOTOS of them..."

"We will contact local media to get the message across that we're here" (the region is WITHOUT power, so how do TVs, radios & cell-phones get power?)

"Oh, you can charge your phones in your cars" (the ones that have been washed away and are lying upside-down in the rivers?)

Is this kak really relevant here? Isn't there a fan fiction thread you lot can go spam in? We're just talking about weather in here.

 

[Groggyme]

It ramped up all the way to a Cat5 storm during just part of today. Might weaken to a high Cat3 by landfall, but I wouldn't hold my breath. In the meantime the increased energy is widening the storm way beyond what was originally expected.

This is a detailed Tampa Bay storm surge forecast, at this point.
View attachment 1762795

Fort Meyers
View attachment 1762796

In any case... Clearly hurricanes can be temperamental things.

Just saw that its now the 5th strongest storm ever in the Atlantic basin. People relying on wind shear to weaken this monster are in for a surprise...

 

[HAL 9000]

Anyone have any comments, observations or feedback on whether the weather patterns in hurricane / tornado / cyclone prone regions are being 'influenced' by cloud-seeding & geo-engineering, or whether the weather there is due to 'climate change' and 'rising seas'...

At “Debating the Future of Solar Geoengineering,” a debate hosted last week by the MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, four leading thinkers in geoengineering laid out their perspectives on doctoring our atmosphere to prevent climate change.

The debate featured Stephen Gardiner of the University of Washington, David Keith and Daniel Schrag of Harvard University, and Alan Robock of Rutgers University. Oliver Morton from The Economist ran the show as a deft and witty moderator.

The debate focused on the easiest, fastest and cheapest geoengineering option on the table: solar radiation management. This technique would involve intentionally injecting sulfate aerosols into Earth’s upper atmosphere, the stratosphere. These aerosols, which are the same particles released by volcanic eruptions, would reflect sunlight away from Earth, cool the planet, and, in theory, stabilize climate.

While climate modeling shows that solar radiation management would reduce risks for some people, there are a number of reasons why this technique might be a bad idea, Robock said. For instance, pumping particles into the stratosphere could shift rainfall patterns and chew up the ozone layer, thus tinkering with the amount of water and UV light reaching human and ecological systems. “We are going to put the entire fate of the only planet we know that can sustain life on this one technical intervention that may go wrong?” he challenged.

Future of solar geoengineering far from settled

MIT event brings together geoengineering experts to debate the use of solar radiation management for preventing climate change.

news.mit.edu

 

[Syphonx]

Anyone have any comments, observations or feedback on whether the weather patterns in hurricane / tornado / cyclone prone regions are being 'influenced' by cloud-seeding & geo-engineering, or whether the weather there is due to 'climate change' and 'rising seas'...

View attachment 1762912

Future of solar geoengineering far from settled

MIT event brings together geoengineering experts to debate the use of solar radiation management for preventing climate change.

news.mit.edu

No, also 'no'.