I've done a lot of reading and research (which of course does not make me an expert). I think the argument for the secession of the Cape has a case, whether it's a good case or not only time will tell. I like to think it's a good case, we will however have to watch, wait and see whether the movement will get support from the international community (another hurdle), gather enough support from within South Africa, and of course see whether the government of S.A. will allow it (At a guess no), it's going to be a waiting game, and the independence movement will have to time this perfectly right.
From anecdotal evidence only I think ex-pats like myself are very receptive to this, obviously without any studies one can only hazard a guess as to how many would actually move back to S.A./The Cape.
According to this source there are about 800 000 ex-pats.
For arguments sake let's say 10% of ex-pats state they will definately come back to an independent Cape, that's only 80 000 votes (10% is a very optimistic guess) not an earth shattering number, but still a significant number. That would give almost 2 seats in the provincial legislature of the WC. Add domestic votes (this election was approx 2500) and any other votes they can swing (they would need a mahusive campaign) and you can see there's a possibility to make some inroads towards independence.
As an aside, the party which can woo the vast majority of ex-pat votes for the next election stands a good chance. I happen to believe the DA and the Cape Party would be the most attractive of all parties. The biggest task of course is to rid ex-pats of their voter apathy.
They have 5 or so years to get their a55es into gear... we shall wait and see.
From anecdotal evidence only I think ex-pats like myself are very receptive to this, obviously without any studies one can only hazard a guess as to how many would actually move back to S.A./The Cape.
According to this source there are about 800 000 ex-pats.
For arguments sake let's say 10% of ex-pats state they will definately come back to an independent Cape, that's only 80 000 votes (10% is a very optimistic guess) not an earth shattering number, but still a significant number. That would give almost 2 seats in the provincial legislature of the WC. Add domestic votes (this election was approx 2500) and any other votes they can swing (they would need a mahusive campaign) and you can see there's a possibility to make some inroads towards independence.
As an aside, the party which can woo the vast majority of ex-pat votes for the next election stands a good chance. I happen to believe the DA and the Cape Party would be the most attractive of all parties. The biggest task of course is to rid ex-pats of their voter apathy.
They have 5 or so years to get their a55es into gear... we shall wait and see.