furpile
Expert Member
How about factoring in the price and availablity of decent broadband... I think that messes with the Netflix business model in South Africa. The only viable broadband options will be ADSL 10mbps+ or FTTH uncapped, both of which don't come cheap and are not available in many areas in South Africa. The wireless options like 3G & LTE don't offer any affordable uncapped services.
So if Netflix are to have a decent impact on MonoChoice... it'll be very reliant on a successful national broadband roll-out to the masses!
Firstly, I watch Netflix just fine on a 2 Mbps line, quality is the same as normal DSTV channels. We don't watch a lot but at the moment a 40 GB cap is enough (use between 500 and 700 MB an hour).
Secondly, as of December there were 965,046 ADSL lines in South Africa. I don't know how many lines Telkom are capable of adding taking into account copper theft, old exchanges, no ports available etc.
As of March 2014, there were 5,008,039 DSTV subscribers. So as a maximum, DSTV can lose 20% of their customers, and a lot will still stay for sport until there is an alternative. More people will get connected with fibre over the next few years so there might be more people moving away from DSTV there.
So I don't think Netflix will end DSTV, but it will hurt them (depending on content offered). The article earlier about DSTV requiring you to have a PVR decoder to stream also shows the direction they are moving, which is not what is best for consumers.