Rain and storm for Cpt

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Geoff.D said:
Is there a plot that shows the upper air cut off low that you know about?
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The satellite animation gives the best real-time view of the upper trough: https://eumetview.eumetsat.int/static-images/MSG/RGB/AIRMASS/SOUTHERNAFRICA/

Very few charts show upper air levels in a comprehensible format. Try this one: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/international/cpci/data/00/gfs_500mb_tmp_safrica.html

Source: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/international/cpci/data/00/fcsts_safrica.shtml
 
Gordon_R said:
The satellite animation gives the best real-time view of the upper trough: https://eumetview.eumetsat.int/static-images/MSG/RGB/AIRMASS/SOUTHERNAFRICA/

Very few charts show upper air levels in a comprehensible format. Try this one: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/international/cpci/data/00/gfs_500mb_tmp_safrica.html

Source: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/international/cpci/data/00/fcsts_safrica.shtml
Click to expand...
Thanks those are the ones I have been looking at.
 
Craig said:
Okay, I love the rain but now I'm really getting fed up of the cold, @Gordon_R whats going on? Will we be having summer this year?
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I don't do long-term forecasts (7-10 day limit), but this is what @Geoff.D posted in the Gauteng thread:
Geoff.D said:
The latest seasonal forecast looks good. We are entering a pretty sustained La Nina period and, the AOO index has gone substantially negative, hence the cold front pushing from the deep southwest.
These two phenomena are colluding which means the seasonal forecast is for an above-normal wet period at least until December. Pretty much everywhere, even for part of the Cape.
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Craig said:
Okay, I love the rain but now I'm really getting fed up of the cold, @Gordon_R whats going on? Will we be having summer this year?
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Longer answer: The seasons in Cape Town are better broken into 6 periods (according to SANBI Kirstenbosch), rather than the traditional 4 periods of 3 months. This is mainly due to the maritime climate, together with dominant wind patterns, which shift the daylight and temperature patterns more than they would in a continental climate. Proposed definitions could be:
April-May = Autumn transition, mild with storms
June-July = Winter, rainfall peak
August-September = Early-Spring transition, still cold
October-November = Late-Spring transition, sunny, windy
December-January = Early-Summer, warm and windy
February-March = Late-Summer, warm and windless

Slightly different in this reference: https://www.sanbi.org/gardens/kirstenboch/garden-information/seasons/
 
Gordon_R said:
Longer answer: The seasons in Cape Town are better broken into 6 periods (according to SANBI Kirstenbosch), rather than the traditional 4 periods of 3 months. This is mainly due to the maritime climate, together with dominant wind patterns, which shift the daylight and temperature patterns more than they would in a continental climate. Proposed definitions could be:
April-May = Autumn transition, mild with storms
June-July = Winter, rainfall peak
August-September = Early-Spring transition, still cold
October-November = Late-Spring transition, sunny, windy
December-January = Early-Summer, warm and windy
February-March = Late-Summer, warm and windless

Slightly different in this reference: https://www.sanbi.org/gardens/kirstenboch/garden-information/seasons/
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Thanks, so within the next few weeks it should start heating up. Really over the cold now, geez.
 
Gotta agree with you @Captain Beer
Im sitting outside and these old gumtrees are swaying much better over the river.
This is a hectic south easter we're having tonight :thumbsup:

The last time we had this type of stormy windy south easter weather this time of the year I remember was in 2013 when the great flood took out medi city
 
Papa Smurf said:
Gotta agree with you @Captain Beer
Im sitting outside and these old gumtrees are swaying much better over the river.
This is a hectic south easter we're having tonight :thumbsup:

The last time we had this type of stormy windy south easter weather this time of the year I remember was in 2013 when the great flood took out medi city
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I've actually got a few videos of that night stashed somewhere. I'm battling to get my fire going this evening, can't even get the blitz lit dammit. The roar of the wind through those old pines, I reckon it's similar to 2.9 earthquake :D
 
Captain Beer said:
I've actually got a few videos of that night stashed somewhere. I'm battling to get my fire going this evening, can't even get the blitz lit dammit. The roar of the wind through those old pines, I reckon it's similar to 2.9 earthquake :D
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Its a roaring noise through those leaves and the old oaks here on the river, love the sound.
You need a proper gas flame torch to start your braai in this weather
 
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