Rain and storm for Cpt

[Nemus]

A cutoff-low/Black South Easter will develop along the SW-Cape coast on Wed 5th, and persist for several days. The amount of rainfall is very difficult to predict (even one day in advance), but could reach 25-50mm in places. The peak is likely to be in the Overberg, and limited to coastal areas (and offshore).

The charts show something like this:

View attachment 1062197

Source: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/international/cpci/data/00/gfs.t00z.totp.day3.safrica.gif

Well called

 

[Gordon_R]

Well called

The numbers were actually way more than 50mm in places. However it is both difficult to make this call, avoid being alarmist, and also disappointing a lot of people who get zero rain. Can't please everyone...

It's not over yet, and remnants of the system are likely to linger until Fri 7th.

 

[borro]

 

[dualmeister]

Finally. A bit of drizzle.

 

[WAslayer]

6.3mm fell in Oakdale in just an hour..

 

[ZizzyBoy]

Looks and Sounds like we got hit and the party is about to start

bit of nice BIG droplets falling now but not still heavy just enough to say its gonna start soon

 

[Shake&Bake]

Pissing down good and proper in the Strandfontein area now! Good company for the night shift!

 

[Rocco1]

Cut off low has moved more inland, slightly weaker and spread out more over a larger area. next 24 hours shows majority of the rainfall. 24 hour forecast sees 50mm in Somerset West falling and 70mm over 72hrs.
90mm in Caledon over 24hrs 120mm over 72hrs.
If it moves more inland flood risks for narrow areas like the Montagu and Barrydale passes etc forecast 50mm over 24hrs

24hr

72hr

 

[Shake&Bake]

Break in the rain - I can go for that smoke break now

 

[BeerIsNotGood...]

Ahh so that's why "ice balls" have been hitting my windows

 

[Icemanbrfc]

Where the storm lol

 

[Gordon_R]

Where the storm lol

Look at the charts. The peak rainfall has shifted to the Overberg. No further rain is predicted for CT, though it will be rather cold and windy.

 

[Icemanbrfc]

Look at the charts. The peak rainfall has shifted to the Overberg. No further rain is predicted for CT, though it will be rather cold and windy.

Sounds boring Gordon.. Lol its nearly Summer again

 

[Rocco1]

Seems most of the rain fall in the Bredasdorp-Elim-Struisbaai nexus, and surrounding catchment areas. 122mm of rain at Struisbaai via SAWS last 24hrs.
Though Someone drowned crossing the brederiver in Bonnivale and Meiringpoort N12 was temp closed due to flooding.

 

[Geoff.D]

Back to typical summer rainfall pattern for the next few days.
New rainfall records set!

 

[backstreetboy]

Where the storm lol

Global heating lol

 

[Rocco1]

bad flooding reported in Riviersonderend. R317 closed Bonnivale-Bredasdorp. Breede river flooding expected.

 

[ZizzyBoy]

Rain is always Welcome - just not STORM rain - but Rain is welcome to fill the DAMS so that our Government or political parties cannot turn around and say we need water restrictions but first lets up the monthly stipulation of cash

 

[Gordon_R]

bad flooding reported in Riviersonderend. R317 closed Bonnivale-Bredasdorp. Breede river flooding expected.

Western Cape storm: 2 dead, 2 missing, evacuations and rescues ... 'it was complete chaos' | News24

Heavy winter storms continue to take a toll on the Western Cape, with two people reported missing and the evacuation of 30 farm workers currently underway in Riviersonderend.

www.news24.com

 

[GrootBaas]

Approximately 100mm recorded at the Dwarsberg weatherstation in Jonkershoek mountains over the last 2 days.

Spoke to a friend yesterday and they had at that stage approx 280mm of rain on their farm in the Riviersonderend region and it was still raining at that point.