Rain and storm for Cpt

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And far more than forecast (10% probability) in the deep South, almost constant rain since 8am , some pretty heavy downpours as well!

You can never with the weather :) , right @Gordon_R ?
 
A cut off low is very hard to model accurately and predicted forcasts shift rapidly. very dynamic system
My point exactly.
Meteorology is possibly one of the most difficult areas to accurately model, too many random variables... essentially like trying to model gas flow in an open ( not a constrained, closed system which is more predictable) system.
 
A cut off low is very hard to model accurately and predicted forcasts shift rapidly. very dynamic system

The tricky part with this system was the transition from a cold-front (this morning's rain over CT), and the developing cutoff-low further offshore, with plenty of sunshine over CT this afternoon.

The ship synoptic chart shows part of the complexity:

ma_sy_2022Sep26_0600.gif

Source: https://www.weathersa.co.za/images/data/specialised/ma_sy.gif
 
Shorts and T-shirt optional…
Earlier this summer witnessed the neighbour (she's not single) at the bottom of the hill walking around naked near the front of their house without a care in the world as I drove past, so yes, optional indeed so it seems ..

Even asked me once if I like it, with a twinkle in her eye. Go figure.:cool:
 
Earlier this summer witnessed the neighbour (she's not single) at the bottom of the hill walking around naked near the front of their house without a care in the world as I drove past, so yes, optional indeed so it seems ..

Even asked me once if I like it, with a twinkle in her eye. Go figure.:cool:
Pics or gtfo :p
 
The Milnerton webcam gives a nice view of Table Mountain, and the half-hourly updates show the progress of the fire. There was a significant flare-up around 11:00am. Note that the wind at altitude is from the North-West (opposite to that at the surface), ahead of a weak-cold front tomorrow (Sun 30th).

hour1100[20221029_sunny_smoke_cirrus].jpg

Source: https://www.kapstadt.de/webcam.jpg
 
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