Rain and storm for Cpt

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About 32mm in our gauge in Kenilworth this morning. Not quite as much rain and wind as I expected, which is just as well on bin day. There have been good falls (15mm/hr) over the Dwarsberg catchment area, with more to come.

The synoptic chart shows two closely spaced fronts, with much colder air likely to move in early this afternoon, bringing light snow over the mountains.

The outlook for next week (Mon 29th) is a widespread cutoff-low, with details still to become clear.
 
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The outlook for next week (Mon 29th) is a widespread cutoff-low, with details still to become clear.
Strange, cutoff-lows are uncommon for winter months in CT? At least those usually don't bring much cold like the northwestern cold fronts.
 
quick fact, Cape Town goes FULL retard in the rain, especially if you are behind a steering wheel, it doesn't matter if its 10mm or 1758mm of rain, we treat rain as rain
I couldnt believe the traffic on the N2 this morning when we left Somerset West at 5h25
More traffic than I normally have when I leave at 7am
But everyone was well behaved in the rain, didnt see anyone been a wop
Even the mini bus taxis were well behaved in the rain
 
the weather has exposed our roofs LOL, stepped in a few drips in the passage while doing the zombie walk to take that morning slash, sounds like a problem for my dad, wonder what hes doing this weekend :ROFL:
 
So loads of rain Monday then?
I must book my Uber again
Thanx

It is still too soon to make any predictions about the timing and amount of rain on Mon 29th, both for CT and other parts (including Port Elizabeth, etc).

One of my neighbours was once quite teed off when the Uber she had booked suddenly raised the price by 8 times when it started raining. It's called demand pricing...
 
Strange, cutoff-lows are uncommon for winter months in CT? At least those usually don't bring much cold like the northwestern cold fronts.
Its still autumn... so I think its more an issue that these are early ?

Cutoff-lows can occur at any time of year. They tend to be more notable in summer, because the winter rainfall area does not normally get precipitation during that season. Another factor is that the air contains more moisture in summer and autumn, so the potential precipitation is much higher than it is in winter and spring.

The difference between a cutoff-low and a cold-front in winter is mainly to do with the relative positions of the cold-core upper trough, the surface low, and the South Atlantic High pressure. Very early forecasts showed a 'normal' cold front on Mon 29th, then the models showed the upper trough 'overshooting' to the north. Recent runs are slowly converging, but it is still too soon (120 hours or 5 days in advance) to give detailed predictions.
 
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