The SA Politics Thread Part 6

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What could effect this the most? Metros? Have they been counted yet?

I don't know. Not sure what margin of error there is on projections. If it's 2% - then yeah ANC could slip into 30s - but I think projections might only be 1% margin of error.
 
But Zille is a problem. She's erratic and past her time. This was a prime opportunity for them to push towards 30%. I don't blame Steenhuisen, every interview I've seen with him is rational and well thought out. She on the other hand is a loose canon especially when it comes to being caught up in social media. He's just caught up in the crossfire through association with her...
Zille is the real deal - probably the best living politician we have. She just needs to tone down a bit but I am sure she has her reasons.

I only hope Pappas comes up through the ranks though. That man is more sincere than John in my opinion.
 
Please identify any social media faux pas from Zille this election cycle. You are also greatly underestimating the positive effect that Zille likely had on getting the DA base fired up, especially in the WC where the DA are posting extraordinary numbers in their strongholds (as in 90+ percent rather than say 80.0 percent to account for the loss of some coloured voters to the PA). The DA was also successful in getting back from Afrikaans voters across the board from the FF.
I'm not going through her endless tweets and RTs to find things.

But it's beyond just social media. She brought back the negative campaigning, knowing how spectacularly it flopped in 2009 with the whole "Don't vote for Zuma" thing. Yes she may have been proven right, and we all knew it to be true at the time, but that's not what it takes to win votes in this country. Voters want positive campaigning, and what you can offer them, which is what worked for the DA's 2014 campaign...
 
Problem is ANC is even less popular in the Metros than rural...

So either the metros might hold them in lower 40... Or they might dip even further...

Yeah that's my point... as it stands... they're >40%... but once the metro votes start to come in... and we know they're not popular there... they could slip into the 30s overall.
 
It seems OOC for me that he went so fanatic the past while so, i dismiss that as trolling.

We probably shouldn't be discussing members so much. Their views are their views and as valid as anyone's. That other poster getting personal is unbecoming.
Champy was trying to mock most of the times but literally every DA member's comment against him is deeply personal and bordering on hate at times. I think he provides a kind of release valve. :cool:
 
DA is currently on 55.3% on Provincial in WC. 53% on National.

 
Yeah that's my point... as it stands... they're >40%... but once the metro votes start to come in... and we know they're not popular there... they could slip into the 30s overall.
I don't think anyone expected ANC to get sucker punched in the rural areas as they did...
 
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