The ZAR Exchange Rate Thread

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Im well aware of the of the bigger picture interesting to see we almost back to where we were 3 months ago not bad...

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Oh well was kinda meh while it lasted.

Trust all you financial gurus made your millions in Forex cause it's going to be a long , long wait till the next bull run.

Over and out.
 
I'm pivoting to being a business journalist. I predict R20 to ther dollar by tomorrow 4PM.
 
That's a bit over enthusiastic.

17.8 maybe.
That's a 4% loss, which is normally quite high. Perhaps another 2% loss tomorrow so ending around 17.37 or so. Then again we did have an almost 4% loss over 24 hours.
 
That's a 4% loss, which is normally quite high. Perhaps another 2% loss tomorrow so ending around 17.37 or so. Then again we did have an almost 4% loss over 24 hours.
You forget 1 important thing.
Friday. Weekend. They want to hold on to that cash a while until Monday morning.
60 hr of interest too...
 
Okay it's now 17.30, seems it was more the dollar dropping then the Rand recovering.
 
Sigh, when will people finally get it.
Any form of recovery left this country a long time ago....
 
Just a blip, someone said we were going to R20 after going to junk status
We were, then the government got a couple of billion bailout from NDB and others. But they aren't changing their ways. When the free loan money runs out and then they have no money and loans to pay back, it won't be pretty.

Edit: for those who haven't seen our rising debt and projected levels - the ANC has been keeping the country afloat by borrowing more and more and more while not addressing the looting. Eventually these loans will mature and the creditors will come knocking.

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At this rate the Chinese will own every thing in SA by 2025 , ports , airports and railways . May be not a bad thing because this government cant run them .
 
We were, then the government got a couple of billion bailout from NDB and others. But they aren't changing their ways. When the free loan money runs out and then they have no money and loans to pay back, it won't be pretty.

Edit: for those who haven't seen our rising debt and projected levels - the ANC has been keeping the country afloat by borrowing more and more and more while not addressing the looting. Eventually these loans will mature and the creditors will come knocking.

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Was going to comment that you should use a 0 based graph because it looks terrible, and then I saw it actually does start at 0...

EDIT: This was before Covid: https://tradingeconomics.com/south-africa/government-debt-to-gdp
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Covid is probably going to be at least a 10% contraction, so we'll probably hit upper 80s. Then the Covid loans themselves need to be added, so wouldn't be shocked if we hit 90%.
 
We were, then the government got a couple of billion bailout from NDB and others. But they aren't changing their ways. When the free loan money runs out and then they have no money and loans to pay back, it won't be pretty.

Edit: for those who haven't seen our rising debt and projected levels - the ANC has been keeping the country afloat by borrowing more and more and more while not addressing the looting. Eventually these loans will mature and the creditors will come knocking.

View attachment 860561

The problem is a bit more than just a single party though.. if you naive enough to think it’s just magically gonna change with with party change you’re about as naive as the Americans who currently believe there is no big corruption happening. Right..


Reality is SA needs a bit of a shake up bottom up. Yes.. we need to decide what kind of country we want to live in.. do we want to be a country with a lot of taxes with high inequality or with more economic equality. Thus far SA has chosen the capitalist route which has yield the expected results.. of cause the ANC chose this way knowing full well that it creates a privileged class, business leaders happily agreed to it has it kept a lot of the past the same for them, and the poor continued on.

Personally I don’t see this as a “solution” regardless of who is elected to rule.. it’s all the same. What we need is that people are able to take care of themselves if they work.. if this need isn’t fulfilled don’t expect things to ever change.

PS. This isn’t exactly a new thing either. It was the “American Dream” of the 60s? which was quite successful. If you look at countries that have done well on QoL across the population they all social democracies for a reason.. ie they enable people to make this decision themselves. SA, US and a few others are birth lotteries.
 
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