This morning's presentations
Reporting back as promised.
Unfortunately, Wally Beelders gave his presentation via videoconference from China so I wasn't able to ask him about the planned price cuts and why they have been delayed beyond the end of March.
There were some interesting developments, though. Among them, very briefly:
* Telkom is deploying fibre to the kerb (to fibre nodes) in an effort to shorten the average length of the local loop. Don't expect fibre into your home but certainly local-loop lengths will be reduced to less than 2km (from an average of 5km now) allowing Telkom to offer 2Mbit/s broadband service fairly universally. Shorter loop lengths mean the company will also be able to offer high-bandwidth services such as IPTV.
* Traffic on Telkom's transport layer will increase 10-fold in the next five years because of strong take-up of broadband services.
* The company will dramatically increase its capex, too. In the next five years it will spend R30bn on improving its network infrastructure. Much of this spending will happen in the next two years. The analysts at the presentation seemed worried about this dramatic increase in capex, which could hurt profit margins. This seems to be the main reason behind the fall in Telkom's share price today (at the moment -- midafternoon -- it's down almost 7% on the session).
* Telkom is still committed to having 1m ADSL lines in place by 2010. That will represent 20% of its installed lines.
* The company is committed to using WiMax as a complementary technology to its fixed-line network. It will deploy WiMax particularly where its fixed-line infrastructure is poorly developed or nonexistent.
* The company is building a Metro Ethernet network to serve its business customers.
* On broadband pricing, the company will reduce ADSL prices further but unfortunately didn't commit to a specific date. The impression I have is that an announcement is still imminent.
* Reuben September, the COO, hinted strongly that Telkom might increase ADSL access speeds without hiking prices. I understood this to mean -- and perhaps my interpretation of this is wrong though I don't think it is -- that if you're on a 512Kbit/s line now you would get 1Mbit/s for no extra cost. September also said broadband bundles (voice and broadband, say) were also planned and would be announced soon.
That probably sums up the most exciting stuff from a broadband perspective that came out of this morning's presentations.
Cheers,
Duncan