SA Politics Thread Part 11: The GNU Normal

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The DM reporting the following in today's weekly newspaper (remember LS has largely disappeared on a national level).

JHB: 97 715 power outages from July 2024 to March 2025, with 5162 serious enough to take out entire suburbs. Service delivery we can all touch and feel, indeed.
 
The_Right_Honourable_Brit said:
The DM reporting the following in today's weekly newspaper (remember LS has largely disappeared on a national level).

JHB: 97 715 power outages from July 2024 to March 2025, with 5162 serious enough to take out entire suburbs. Service delivery we can all touch and feel, indeed.
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My old neighborhood regularly experiences 24hr+ cuts. Gotten worse as time goes on.
 
Wall Street Misprices South Africa’s Collapse

A reckoning is coming for South Africa. The Trump administration sees it. So does Congress. But financial markets don’t—and that’s a problem.

Multinationals and finance houses recognize South Africa’s deteriorating domestic conditions: youth unemployment above 60%, frequent power and water outages, and failing state-owned enterprises. But they haven’t priced in sanctions and compliance risks stemming from Pretoria’s foreign alignments and collapsing standing in Washington. South Africa’s rand is one of the world’s most volatile currencies, yet its modest 4.28% dip against the U.S. dollar since the beginning of President Trump’s second term doesn’t capture the scale of Pretoria’s increasing isolation.

Amid South Africa’s alignment with China, Russia and Iran, its anti-Israel lawfare and systemic corruption, the Trump administration has taken steps to isolate Pretoria: suspending financial assistance in February, expelling the country’s ambassador in March, denying its special envoy a visa in May, and signaling it may oppose reauthorization of a key regional trade program. This week, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent skipped the Group of 20 finance ministers’ meeting in South Africa. These moves reflect South Africa’s pariah-like status in Washington.

While the next phase will likely involve harsher economic penalties, markets around the world continue to underprice South Africa’s growing risk profile. Companies, investors and compliance teams still treat it like a typical emerging market: a little unstable and volatile but ultimately manageable. That assumption is wrong.
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Congressional sanctions legislation now seeks to target South African officials complicit in corruption or aligned with hostile regimes. Potential designations could include former Foreign Minister Naledi Pandor, who has ties to Hamas and Iran; African National Congress National Chairman Gwede Mantashe, who has floated rare-earth export restrictions and nuclear cooperation with Russia and Iran as minister of mineral and petroleum resources; and opposition leader Julius Malema, who has pledged to “arm Hamas.”
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Inertia said:
The hatred towards the ANC is actually quite shocking. Their current campaign of “your eyes and ears deceive you, everything is actually great” must surely go down in history as the worst political campaign of all time (for a remarkably open society). If this was communist Russia or China where every news outlet was carefully controlled propaganda and the security forces eliminated all opposition I would understand. But people are allowed to speak freely and most ANC propaganda news outlets have little to no circulation. Social media and podcasts dominate and tell mostly the truth.

Surely they’ve reached the point of no return in their electoral collapse. The handling of the SAPS affair clearly demonstrates that they aren’t even able to snatch extremely low hanging political fruit.
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It's because secretly the ANC sees our democracy as a phase to their desired one-party state. And all their tactics are set up for that.

They bet that they'd govern alone forever, but they got that wrong. Hilariously enough, the thing that they see as a phase is the thing that will end up destroying them...
 
Priapus said:
@TheChamp claims to deal in facts — yet every time real data is presented, it’s the same tired deflection: ‘But DA bad.’

Here’s the hard truth: the ANC has been in steady electoral decline for over 20 years. They haven’t reversed it. They can’t reverse it. The numbers don’t lie.


View attachment 1835546

Anyone paying attention — anyone with a shred of honesty — can see this party is in free fall. And the collapse is accelerating.

Source (since facts matter, right Champy?)
WiKi

Beautiful graphs like this are nice — but cold, hard stats? Even better.

Next year’s local elections will be an absolute bloodbath. The voters are done. The patience is gone. The numbers are coming — and they’re going to hurt.
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Precisely. Expect "BUT WHAT ABOUT DA WITHOUT POOR MMUSI???" to arrive shortly.

The only two parties that have managed to come back from electoral decline are the DA and IFP.
 
Agent69 said:
https://twitter.com/x/status/1946479565657751981

Lol, holding your partners accountable is now "spoilt brat behaviour".

It's like I said: if DA leaves, there will be no counterweight in GNU, all the other small parties will just scream "HALALA" to whatever ANC says.
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Gayton isn't a clever oke. I don't think he realised that despite his dubious claims of the DA losing power in the WC, they won the highest vote share in every single WC municipality in 2024, which was an improvement over 2019 actually. Yes, the PA couldn't even receive the highest vote share in rural municipalities. :ROFL:

Also he should look what happened in Knysna between 2021 and 2024 in terms of the DA vote share...the coalition of corruption were thrashed there.
 
Inertia said:
These kinds of articles are pretty scary. Once Wall Street loses confidence, it’s all over
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Maybe. Maybe not. Remember these sorts of articles are meant to drive clicks. So take what they say with a pinch of salt and personally, I'd not worry about it. Just protect your assets by having some offshore. That's the only way, really.
 
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