Drunkard #1
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South Africa's State-owned power utility Eskom could lop a further ten percentage points annually off its application for tariff increases of 35% a year between April 1, 2010, and March 31, 2013, and still emerge as a sustainable organisation able to fund its operations and its capital programmes, new research by consultancy Genesis Analytics asserts.
The analysis, which has been completed on behalf of several mining and industrial clients, including the Chemical and Allied Industries Association and AngloGold Ashanti, would be presented to the National Energy Regulator of South Africa (Nersa), which is scheduled to host public hearings into Eskom's tariff application between January 11 and January 22.
Genesis Analytics chairman Stephan Malherbe told Engineering News Online on Friday that the outcome of a 25% a year price path, which could be "frontloaded if necessary", would be an electricity price of 62c/kWh, rather than the 81c/kWh (by March 2013) outlined by Eskom. Nevertheless, Eskom would remain "sustainable" and would also be earning an acceptable rate of return by the end of the period.
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I wonder if their study made sufficient allowances for bribes and kickbacks. Why should a power station in SA cost double what it would cost to build in the States?