America risking “another Vietnam” in Afghanistan - Gorbachev

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http://rt.com/Politics/2010-10-28/gorbachev-afghanistan-interview-america.html

Former Soviet leader Mikhail Gorbachev has said in an interview that it is "impossible" for US-led coalition forces to secure victory in Afghanistan.

He said he supported US President Barack Obama’s decision to start bringing home troops in July 2011 since the alternative was nothing less than “another Vietnam.”

In an interview with the BBC on Wednesday, Gorbachev said, "Victory is impossible in Afghanistan. Obama is right to pull the troops out no matter how difficult it will be…What's the alternative? Another Vietnam? Sending in half a million troops? That wouldn't work."

His comments come at a sensitive moment as US-led fighting in Afghanistan enters its 10th year: 2010 has already gone down as the deadliest 365 days for coalition forces since “Operation Enduring Freedom" began in earnest on Oct. 7, 2001.

The former Soviet leader went on to express his disappointment with the Americans, who were responsible, he argues, for arming the mujahideen against the Soviet Army. Now, he says, Washington is paying the price for that decision by having to take up arms against the very militants they orignally armed.

Before the Soviet Union withdrew from Afghanistan, “an agreement had been reached with Iran, India, Pakistan and of course with the Americans,” he explained.

"We had hoped America would abide by the agreement that we reached that Afghanistan should be a neutral, democratic country that would have good relations with its neighbors and with both the US and the USSR," he said.

"The Americans always said they supported this, but at the same time they were training militants – the same ones who today are terrorizing Afghanistan and more and more of Pakistan."

Indeed, Osama bin Laden and Al Qaeda are direct outgrowths of foreign aid provided during the Soviet war. Because of this, it would be more difficult for the US to extract itself from the country.
America has created a “difficult situation”

Mikhail Gorbachev is certainly no stranger to the hazards of Afghanistan, a rugged land dubbed the “graveyard of empires” that humbled both the British and Soviet empires. Gorbachev had the dubious privilege of being leader of the Soviet Union when the decision was made to withdraw Soviet troops from the country in 1989, following nearly a decade of conflict.

Similar to the US experience in Afghanistan, which began under George W. Bush (as did the Iraq War, which provided an unnecessary setback for US operations) and was inherited by Barack Obama, the Soviet war passed through several leaderships before finally stalling on Gorbachev’s watch.

The Soviets deployed the 40th Army on December 24, 1979, under Soviet leader Leonid Brezhnev, and it ended on February 15, 1989 under Mikhail Gorbachev, the last Soviet leader. The government of Soviet-backed Najibullah fell in April 1992 after Moscow withdrew support following the 1991 Soviet collapse.

Due to significant outside support from a number of countries, including the United States, United Kingdom, Saudi Arabia, Pakistan, and Egypt, the mujahideen gave the Soviet Army a bitter fight. Indeed, the Soviet Union’s experience has been dubbed as the “Soviet Union’s Vietnam War.”

Although the Soviets managed to inflict massive losses on the mujahideen (almost 100,000 killed and up to 200,000 wounded), they experienced the very same problem that is haunting coalition forces now playing a game of cat and mouse against the Taliban: how do you beat an enemy that enjoys all the advantages of a hostile environment, mixed with heavy support from the locals?

The writer Stephen Tanner, in his book "Afghanistan," provides a telling glimpse of the supreme challenges that have confronted Afghanistan’s enemies, no matter how technologically superior they are:

“Afghanistan’s continuously violent history is due in equal measure to the nature of its territory, which has in turn influenced the nature of its people. However strategically desirable Afghanistan’s narrow mountain passes and river valleys, the bulk of the land is unrelentingly harsh, and where it does not consist of jagged, successive ranges of heights it is largely desert. The people of this forbidding land have thus had advantages in defense of their territory, whether on a national, regional, or local level. It is a land that can be easily invaded but is much more difficult to hold – and to hold together.”

But it is not just impassable mountain ranges and a fierce tribalism that is giving coalition forces a hard time. This tough, elusive enemy has been steadily mastering the technology behind what is probably becoming the most-feared weapon of modern armies: improvised explosive devices, otherwise known as IEDs.

“IEDs remain the top killer of U.S. troops in Afghanistan,” USA Today reported last week. “IEDs wound two of three troops hurt in battle. Insurgents planted 1,321 bombs that were detected or blew up in September, the third-highest monthly total in the nine-year-old war, and 16 per cent more than in September 2009.”

The monthly record for IEDs was recorded in July when 1,374 bombs detonated or were defused.

According to a report by Homeland Security Market Research, based in the US, IEDs are the number one cause of death among NATO troops in Afghanistan: the number of IEDs used in Afghanistan had increased by 400 per cent since 2007; the number of troops killed by them by 400 per cent; and those wounded by 700 per cent.

Little surprise, then, that when Secretary of Defense Robert Gates announced an IED task force earlier this year, he reportedly told the team, to “scour war records to determine how the Soviets responded to the devices.”

According to statistics gathered from the Army War College’s Lester Grau, the Soviets lost 1,995 soldiers and 1,191 vehicles to mines and IEDs during their eight-year-long war.

Much like the US-led coalition forces, the Soviet Army in Afghanistan was road bound, dependent upon the country’s rugged transport arteries to deliver supplies to isolated outposts.

Beyond the human toll the war is exacting, there is also the financial drain. According to the latest statistics, the war in Afghanistan is costing the US taxpayer $30 billion every month. Few would agree with the statement that we got our money’s worth there. The Soviet Union, it has been said, could not afford one Vietnam War; does America really think it can afford two?

For Russia’s part in Operation Enduring Freedom, it has politely declined to send its troops into Afghanistan, but has provided the US military with a valuable air corridor over its territory. Yet for some reason, the United States continues to refuse Russia’s help where it matters most to Russia: on the heroin front.
Russia’s new war in Afghanistan

Russia is complaining that Washington is failing to act on information the top Russian anti-drug official has provided about narcotics laboratories in Afghanistan.

Victor Ivanov, the head of Russia's federal drug control agency, says he provided US officials in Kabul the location of 175 laboratories where heroin is being processed. He says US Drug Enforcement Agency officials there have told him they are awaiting US military approval to counter the labs.

"For some reason they are unable to carry out any operations to destroy these laboratories, because there is a delay from the military side," Ivanov told The Associated Press in an interview last week. He was in Washington for a meeting of a commission on drugs set up by the US and Russian presidents to improve cooperation in Afghanistan.

Russia argues that the US and NATO’s refusal to implement poppy eradication programs – in which Moscow has on past occasions offered the use of its cargo planes to defoliate the vast fields – is causing a massive influx of Afghan heroin into Russia. Ivanov has said that Russia alone has 2 million opium and heroin addicts.

He went on to say that drug production in Afghanistan has increased exponentially since US forces dispersed the Taliban in 2001. Today, smugglers easily transport heroin and opium north into Central Asia and Russia and into Western Europe.

US officials have argued that destruction of poppy fields would drive Afghan farmers into the arms of the Taliban, but the logic sounds unconvincing. Why not offer them an opportunity to train and fight alongside the Afghan forces instead?

After all, once the US forces leave, the Afghan army will need all the help it can get keeping the Taliban at bay.
 
Superb and informative. It sums up the situation perfectly.
 
I would be interested to hear some similar commentary on South Africa from someone who has previously witnessed the demise of a fail government and can come in with a clear objective view like this chap!

just for a bit of perspective you know, makes one think
 
Meh Iraq was supposedly "another Vietnam" and fleeing was the only option.......

Secondly the Taliban was only a faction with in the mujahideen. The Northern Alliance who the U.S supported to remove the Taliban were mujahideen too. Elements of the Afghan government/army currently fighting the Taliban were mujahideen too.

Anyway Gorbachev knows the U.S armed his commie comrades in WW2 and they then went on to terrorize the people Eastern Europe for 45 years......
 
The problem is that the USA is trying to approach Afghanistan as "the good guys", and that doesn't work when the entire country is against you and doesn't give a rat's ass whether you're good, bad or ugly. Attempting to win hearts and minds is one of the most foolish and wasteful military strategies ever devised. It causes conflict to drag on forever without either side winning, and with both sides continuously amassing casualties.

The only way to defeat the Taliban is to implement a scorched earth policy. Don't bother making friends with the locals, just let them know that if they assist insurgents in any way, there will be consequences. If they don't comply, bomb their village and everyone in it into the ground. Wash, rinse, repeat until the entire civilian population understands that helping the Taliban = death. Is it ethical, is it right? Probably not. Is it the most effective strategy in the long term? Undoubtedly yes.

If America had employed a scorched earth strategy, they would have been out of Afghanistan half a decade ago.
 
The only way to defeat the Taliban is to implement a scorched earth policy. Don't bother making friends with the locals, just let them know that if they assist insurgents in any way, there will be consequences. If they don't comply, bomb their village and everyone in it into the ground. Wash, rinse, repeat until the entire civilian population understands that helping the Taliban = death. Is it ethical, is it right? Probably not. Is it the most effective strategy in the long term? Undoubtedly yes.

I don’t think that would work. Bear in mind that, even though the American mainland is geographically isolated, they have no experience in fighting a war when their homeland is attacked. It does not take high-tech, sophisticated weaponry to cause havoc. Killing arbitrary Afghani’s will harden attitudes, strengthen enemy recruitment and cause any ditherer’s to be implacably anti-American.

It’s a two-way street. America can attack and cause misery but so can the enemy. Compare a country that has never known peace in living memory, harsh terrain and with no infrastructure and a militarized youth (who are tough and non-shabby soldiers) against ‘American Dream’ America, a massive and vulnerable infrastructure with a defenseless population and a military who thinks they are ‘toughing it’ when the ice cream delivery is late. No contest.
 
When the 'arf-made recruity goes out to the East
'E acts like a babe an' 'e drinks like a beast,
An' 'e wonders because 'e is frequent deceased
Ere 'e's fit for to serve as a soldier.
Serve, serve, serve as a soldier,
Serve, serve, serve as a soldier,
Serve, serve, serve as a soldier,
So-oldier OF the Queen!

Now all you recruities what's drafted to-day,
You shut up your rag-box an' 'ark to my lay,
An' I'll sing you a soldier as far as I may:
A soldier what's fit for a soldier.
Fit, fit, fit for a soldier . . .

First mind you steer clear o' the grog-sellers' huts,
For they sell you Fixed Bay'nets that rots out your guts --
Ay, drink that 'ud eat the live steel from your butts --
An' it's bad for the young British soldier.
Bad, bad, bad for the soldier . . .

When the cholera comes -- as it will past a doubt --
Keep out of the wet and don't go on the shout,
For the sickness gets in as the liquor dies out,
An' it crumples the young British soldier.
Crum-, crum-, crumples the soldier . . .

But the worst o' your foes is the sun over'ead:
You must wear your 'elmet for all that is said:
If 'e finds you uncovered 'e'll knock you down dead,
An' you'll die like a fool of a soldier.
Fool, fool, fool of a soldier . . .

If you're cast for fatigue by a sergeant unkind,
Don't grouse like a woman nor crack on nor blind;
Be handy and civil, and then you will find
That it's beer for the young British soldier.
Beer, beer, beer for the soldier . . .

Now, if you must marry, take care she is old --
A troop-sergeant's widow's the nicest I'm told,
For beauty won't help if your rations is cold,
Nor love ain't enough for a soldier.
'Nough, 'nough, 'nough for a soldier . . .

If the wife should go wrong with a comrade, be loath
To shoot when you catch 'em -- you'll swing, on my oath! --
Make 'im take 'er and keep 'er: that's Hell for them both,
An' you're shut o' the curse of a soldier.
Curse, curse, curse of a soldier . . .

When first under fire an' you're wishful to duck,
Don't look nor take 'eed at the man that is struck,
Be thankful you're livin', and trust to your luck
And march to your front like a soldier.
Front, front, front like a soldier . . .

When 'arf of your bullets fly wide in the ditch,
Don't call your Martini a cross-eyed old bitch;
She's human as you are -- you treat her as sich,
An' she'll fight for the young British soldier.
Fight, fight, fight for the soldier . . .

When shakin' their bustles like ladies so fine,
The guns o' the enemy wheel into line,
Shoot low at the limbers an' don't mind the shine,
For noise never startles the soldier.
Start-, start-, startles the soldier . . .

If your officer's dead and the sergeants look white,
Remember it's ruin to run from a fight:
So take open order, lie down, and sit tight,
And wait for supports like a soldier.
Wait, wait, wait like a soldier . . .

When you're wounded and left on Afghanistan's plains,
And the women come out to cut up what remains,
Jest roll to your rifle and blow out your brains
An' go to your Gawd like a soldier.
Go, go, go like a soldier,
Go, go, go like a soldier,
Go, go, go like a soldier,
So-oldier of the Queen

The Young British Soldier - Rudyard Kipling
 
The problem is that the USA is trying to approach Afghanistan as "the good guys", and that doesn't work when the entire country is against you and doesn't give a rat's ass whether you're good, bad or ugly. Attempting to win hearts and minds is one of the most foolish and wasteful military strategies ever devised. It causes conflict to drag on forever without either side winning, and with both sides continuously amassing casualties.

The only way to defeat the Taliban is to implement a scorched earth policy. Don't bother making friends with the locals, just let them know that if they assist insurgents in any way, there will be consequences. If they don't comply, bomb their village and everyone in it into the ground. Wash, rinse, repeat until the entire civilian population understands that helping the Taliban = death. Is it ethical, is it right? Probably not. Is it the most effective strategy in the long term? Undoubtedly yes.

If America had employed a scorched earth strategy, they would have been out of Afghanistan half a decade ago.

That's more or less what they did in Vietnam and they lost that one.
 
The problem is that the USA is trying to approach Afghanistan as "the good guys", and that doesn't work when the entire country is against you and doesn't give a rat's ass whether you're good, bad or ugly. Attempting to win hearts and minds is one of the most foolish and wasteful military strategies ever devised. It causes conflict to drag on forever without either side winning, and with both sides continuously amassing casualties.

The only way to defeat the Taliban is to implement a scorched earth policy. Don't bother making friends with the locals, just let them know that if they assist insurgents in any way, there will be consequences. If they don't comply, bomb their village and everyone in it into the ground. Wash, rinse, repeat until the entire civilian population understands that helping the Taliban = death. Is it ethical, is it right? Probably not. Is it the most effective strategy in the long term? Undoubtedly yes.

If America had employed a scorched earth strategy, they would have been out of Afghanistan half a decade ago.

If America did this it would be the quickest way to unbalance and then break down the global community. Allies would become enemies overnight and America will quickly find themselves very alone. Not to mention they'd cease being the moral compass of the world that Americans love to think of themselves as.

When you fight terrorism with terrorism, guess what, you're a terrorist.

Vietnam happened in a time when communism was a threat to the western world and the western world was firmly behind America. Currently, the worlds nations are not quite so happy. And in the 50's and 60's, human rights was not as big a deal to politics as it is today. Thank the hippies for that.
 
Not to mention they'd cease being the moral compass of the world that Americans love to think of themselves as.

America has never really been a moral compass if you ask me. We just need to look at the amount of coups the USA/CIA were directly involved in or backed and I'm talking about democratically elected governments just to instate some despot dictator.
 
That's more or less what they did in Vietnam and they lost that one.

On the contrary. The U.S could have attempted to destroy the dike and dam system in the north which would have resulted in mass flooding killing hundreds of thousands either directly through drowning or starvation from destroyed crops.

America has never really been a moral compass if you ask me. We just need to look at the amount of coups the USA/CIA were directly involved in or backed and I'm talking about democratically elected governments just to instate some despot dictator.

democratically elected tinpot socialist tyrants like Mad Bob in reality
 
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democratically elected tinpot socialist tyrants like Mad Bob in reality

Which also had the support of the USA although it was not a coup. Think of Iran, Zaire etc which ended up with dictators from the word go after the organised coups simply because the current governments were "yes men" to the USA and their needs.

The USA does not like being said 'no' to. Just look at little old NZ when they denied the US nuclear boats/weapons access to their ports because of their own internal nuclear policy. The USA kicked up a **** storm, suspended it's obligations of the ANZUS treaty and said NZ is no longer one of their allies. It's their way or you are against them type of policy yet come 2001 NZ still provided naval support for US Operation Enduring Freedom.
 
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America has never really been a moral compass if you ask me. We just need to look at the amount of coups the USA/CIA were directly involved in or backed and I'm talking about democratically elected governments just to instate some despot dictator.

Oh I quite agree about that. That's why I said that they think of themselves like that, not that i think of them like that. What can we say, Americans think they are the greatest thing since sliced bread.
 
Which also had the support of the USA although it was not a coup. Think of Iran, Zaire etc which ended up with dictators from the word go after the organised coups simply because the current governments were "yes men" to the USA and their needs.

and that was because Jimmy the peanut reversed that policy bringing a "moral compass" to foreign policy. He got plenty of plaudits for it too. I don't think any of the previous presidents would have allowed mad BoB to come to power.

The USA does not like being said 'no' to. Just look at little old NZ when they denied the US nuclear boats/weapons access to their ports because of their own internal nuclear policy. The USA kicked up a **** storm, suspended it's obligations of the ANZUS treaty and said NZ is no longer one of their allies. It's their way or you are against them type of policy yet come 2001 NZ still provided naval support for US Operation Enduring Freedom.

I dunno Germany and France constantly openly disagree with the U.S. They're still allies.
 
...helping the Taliban = death. Is it ethical, is it right? Probably not. Is it the most effective strategy in the long term? Undoubtedly yes.

If America had employed a scorched earth strategy, they would have been out of Afghanistan half a decade ago.

The last invader that successfully invaded Afghanistan was Genghis Khan - and he employed that strategy.

After he completely destroyed a few cities, and killed all the inhabitants, he had no further trouble. War is not nice, that doesn't work.
 
I don’t think that would work. Bear in mind that, even though the American mainland is geographically isolated, they have no experience in fighting a war when their homeland is attacked. It does not take high-tech, sophisticated weaponry to cause havoc. Killing arbitrary Afghani’s will harden attitudes, strengthen enemy recruitment and cause any ditherer’s to be implacably anti-American.

It’s a two-way street. America can attack and cause misery but so can the enemy. Compare a country that has never known peace in living memory, harsh terrain and with no infrastructure and a militarized youth (who are tough and non-shabby soldiers) against ‘American Dream’ America, a massive and vulnerable infrastructure with a defenseless population and a military who thinks they are ‘toughing it’ when the ice cream delivery is late. No contest.

There has been only 2 successful attacks on American soil. Both where when they weren't expecting it. The first(Pearl Harbor), resulted in the dropping of 2 nuclear bombs. The second(WTC), resulted in the destruction of 2 countries.

Don't assume they don't know to defend themselves. Right now they are restrained. If another attack does get through then they will escalate it. American public opinion will demand it.

And you think they are defenceless ? Lol. There are probably more privately owned guns in America than some countries armies.

Iran should be very nervous of the pending withdrawal from Afghanistan. The Americans have been isolating Iran from the rest of the middle east for ages now.
 
On the contrary. The U.S could have attempted to destroy the dike and dam system in the north which would have resulted in mass flooding killing hundreds of thousands either directly through drowning or starvation from destroyed crops.



democratically elected tinpot socialist tyrants like Mad Bob in reality

Yeah, they only burned villages, mined rice fields and tortured prisoners. I guess we should be grateful.

They weren't interested in winning hearts and minds, and ultimately paid the price.
 
They need Chuck Norris to defend America from foreign invaders.Sadly this might only happen in the movies.But wait it did happen in a movie.
 
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